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Serie A
Serie A Italy
29.10.2024 17:30 UTC Match prediction
29.10.2024 17:30 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Lecce - Hellas Verona

Italy Football
Lecce
Lecce
1 : 0
Finished
Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lecce - Hellas Verona October 29, 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lecce.

Line favourite market consensus: Lecce. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.28 / X 3.20 / 2 3.62
  • 1X2 market: Lecce 42.7% / X 30.4% / Hellas Verona 26.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.7%
1 42.7%
X 30.4%
2 26.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.1%
Over 2.5 42.9%
Under 2.5 57.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 29.10.2024 17:30 UTC
Match center

Lecce - Hellas Verona

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.62 market consensus · line only
X 3.20 market consensus · line only
1 2.28 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.70 market consensus · line only
12 1.39 market consensus · line only
1X 1.32 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.26 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.70 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.28 43.9%
X 3.20 31.3%
3.62 27.6%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.70 58.8%
home_away 1.39 71.9%
home_draw 1.32 75.8%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 2.26 44.3%
Under 2.5 1.70 58.8%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.57 63.7%
2.51 39.8%
Match center
Lecce
L L L L D
26.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Lecce 0:1 NapoliNapoli
20.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Lecce 0:6 FiorentinaFiorentina
05.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Lecce 0:1 UdineseUdinese
27.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Lecce 0:3 AC MilanAC Milan
21.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Lecce 2:2 ParmaParma
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
0.4 Scored
2.6 Conceded
1 Points
Hellas Verona
L L W L L
26.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 1:6 AtalantaAtalanta
21.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 0:3 Monza
04.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 2:1 Venezia
29.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 2:3 ComoComo
20.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 2:3 TorinoTorino
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
1.4 Scored
3.2 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLecce - Hellas Verona

Lecce
0 matches total
Hellas Verona
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history