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Serie A Italy

08.11.2025 14:00 UTC Match prediction

08.11.2025 14:00 UTC

Finished

Serie A

Lecce - Hellas Verona

Italy Football

Lecce

0 : 0

Finished

Hellas Verona

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lecce - Hellas Verona November 8, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like draw.

Line favourite market consensus: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.88 / X 2.77 / 2 2.93
1X2 market: Lecce 33.1% / X 34.3% / Hellas Verona 32.5%
Total 2.5: over probability 66.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%

1 33.1%

X 34.4%

2 32.5%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.6%

Over 2.5 33.3%

Under 2.5 66.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 08.11.2025 14:00 UTC

Match center

Lecce - Hellas Verona

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.93 market consensus · line only

X 2.77 market consensus · line only

1 2.88 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.43 market consensus · line only

12 1.44 market consensus · line only

1X 1.42 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.44 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.14 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 2.88 market consensus · line only

2 +1 5.58 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.84 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.42 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.65 market consensus · line only

Yes 2.18 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	3.00 33.3%
X	2.80 35.7%
	2.97 33.7%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	2.76 36.2%	2.88 34.7%	2.96 33.8%	2.75 36.4%	2.90 34.5%	2.92 34.3%
X	2.78 36.0%	2.78 36.0%	2.88 34.7%	2.75 36.4%	2.75 36.4%	2.75 36.4%
	2.95 33.9%	2.98 33.6%	3.04 32.9%	2.88 34.7%	2.90 34.5%	2.92 34.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	1.62 61.7%	1.69 59.2%	1.63 61.4%	1.65 60.6%	1.67 59.9%	1.67 59.9%	1.60 62.5%	1.62 61.7%	1.68 59.5%
yes	2.15 46.5%	2.18 45.9%	2.17 46.1%	2.15 46.5%	2.10 47.6%	2.12 47.2%	2.25 44.4%	2.17 46.1%	2.29 43.7%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	1.42 70.4%	1.46 68.5%	1.44 69.4%	1.40 71.4%	1.44 69.4%	1.45 69.0%
home_away	1.38 72.5%	1.48 67.6%	1.40 71.4%	1.40 71.4%	1.42 70.4%	1.47 68.0%
home_draw	1.40 71.4%	1.44 69.4%	1.40 71.4%	1.40 71.4%	1.44 69.4%	1.43 69.9%

Match center

Lecce

W L L D W

02.11 14:00 UTC Serie A

Lecce 1:0 Fiorentina

28.10 17:30 UTC Serie A

Lecce 0:1 Napoli

25.10 13:00 UTC Serie A

Lecce 2:3 Udinese

18.10 13:00 UTC Serie A

Lecce 0:0 Sassuolo

04.10 13:00 UTC Serie A

Lecce 1:0 Parma

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

0.8 Scored

0.8 Conceded

7 Points

Hellas Verona

L L D D L

02.11 11:30 UTC Serie A

Hellas Verona 1:2 Inter

29.10 17:30 UTC Serie A

Hellas Verona 1:3 Como

26.10 14:00 UTC Serie A

Hellas Verona 2:2 Cagliari

18.10 13:00 UTC Serie A

Hellas Verona 0:0 Pisa

03.10 18:45 UTC Serie A

Hellas Verona 0:1 Sassuolo

0 Wins

2 Draws

3 Losses

0.8 Scored

1.6 Conceded

2 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyLecce - Hellas Verona

Lecce

2 matches total

Hellas Verona

Lecce: 1 (50%)

Draws:1 (50%)

Hellas Verona: 0 (0%)

Biggest win Lecce 1:0 (29.10 17:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 11.05 13:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (11.05 13:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 1

1 Goals conceded 2

Match history

11.05 13:00 UTC

Serie A

Lecce

1:1

Hellas Verona

29.10 17:30 UTC

Serie A

Lecce

1:0

Hellas Verona