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Serie A
Serie A Italy
21.02.2026 17:00 UTC Match prediction
21.02.2026 17:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Lecce - Inter

Italy Football
Lecce
Lecce
0 : 2
Finished
Inter
Inter

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lecce - Inter February 21, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Inter.

Line favourite market consensus: Inter. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 7.20 / X 4.25 / 2 1.49
  • 1X2 market: Lecce 13.3% / X 22.5% / Inter 64.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.5%
1 13.3%
X 22.5%
2 64.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.5%
Over 2.5 46.9%
Under 2.5 53.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 21.02.2026 17:00 UTC
Match center

Lecce - Inter

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.49 market consensus · line only
X 4.26 market consensus · line only
1 7.27 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.11 market consensus · line only
12 1.24 market consensus · line only
1X 2.69 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.12 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.47 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.80 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 6.25 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.06 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.82 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.64 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.20 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
7.73 12.9%
X 4.30 23.3%
1.48 67.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus
7.60 13.2% 6.98 14.3% 6.50 15.4% 6.85 14.6% 7.73 12.9% 7.73 12.9%
X 4.25 23.5% 4.38 22.8% 4.33 23.1% 4.30 23.3% 4.30 23.3% 4.30 23.3%
1.48 67.6% 1.54 64.9% 1.48 67.6% 1.51 66.2% 1.48 67.6% 1.48 67.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle William Hill
no 1.67 59.9% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.66 60.2% 1.67 59.9%
yes 2.22 45.1% 2.19 45.7% 2.20 45.5% 2.19 45.7% 2.31 43.3% 2.10 47.6%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus William Hill
draw_away 1.12 89.3% 1.11 90.1% 1.12 89.3% 1.11 90.1% 1.11 90.1% 1.10 90.9%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.24 80.7% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0%
home_draw 2.66 37.6% 2.62 38.2% 2.65 37.7% 2.80 35.7% 2.80 35.7% 2.62 38.2%
Match center
Lecce
W W L D L
16.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Lecce 2:0 CagliariCagliari
08.02 14:00 UTC Serie A
Lecce 2:1 UdineseUdinese
01.02 11:30 UTC Serie A
Lecce 0:1 TorinoTorino
24.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Lecce 0:0 LazioLazio
18.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Lecce 0:1 AC MilanAC Milan
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
0.6 Conceded
7 Points
Inter
W W W W W
14.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Inter 3:2 JuventusJuventus
08.02 17:00 UTC Serie A
Inter 5:0 SassuoloSassuolo
01.02 17:00 UTC Serie A
Inter 2:0 CremoneseCremonese
23.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Inter 6:2 PisaPisa
17.01 14:00 UTC Serie A
Inter 1:0 UdineseUdinese
5 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.4 Scored
0.8 Conceded
15 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLecce - Inter

Lecce
1 matches total
Inter
Lecce: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Inter: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Inter 0:1 (14.01 19:45 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (0:1, 14.01 19:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 0

Match history

14.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Lecce
0:1
Inter