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Serie A Italy

36 round 09.05.2026 18:45 UTC Match prediction

09.05.2026 18:45 UTC 36 round

Finished

Serie A

Lecce - Juventus

Italy Football

Lecce

0 : 1

Finished

Juventus

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lecce - Juventus May 9, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Juventus.

Line favourite market consensus: Juventus. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 8.31 / X 4.44 / 2 1.41
1X2 market: Lecce 11.5% / X 21.4% / Juventus 67.2%
Total 2.5: over probability 51.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.5%

1 11.4%

X 21.4%

2 67.2%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.1%

Over 2.5 48.6%

Under 2.5 51.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Stadium Ettore Dzhardinero — Via Del Mare (Lechche, Italy), vmestimost: 33876

Referee Andrea Kolombo

Start 09.05.2026 18:45 UTC

Match center

Lecce - Juventus

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Lechche - Yuventus, 9 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Italy po futbolu (Seriya A) 2025-2026, 36 round. Lechche - Yuventus, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.05 Fonbet · line only

X 9.00 Fonbet · line only

1 8.16 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.08 market consensus · line only

12 1.20 market consensus · line only

1X 2.85 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.09 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 1.40 market consensus · line only

2 +1 1.65 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 6.53 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.96 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.85 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.61 market consensus · line only

Yes 2.22 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
	8.00 12.5%	8.10 12.4%	7.50 13.3%	9.00 11.1%	8.50 11.8%	9.00 11.1%
X	4.35 23.0%	4.58 21.8%	4.20 23.8%	4.50 22.2%	4.60 21.7%	4.40 22.7%
	1.40 71.4%	1.48 67.6%	1.40 71.4%	1.40 71.4%	1.44 69.4%	1.36 73.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor	Marathonbet	Unibet
no	1.62 61.7%	1.54 64.9%	1.65 60.6%	1.67 59.9%	1.65 60.6%	1.57 63.7%	1.57 63.7%	1.52 65.8%	1.68 59.5%
yes	2.20 45.5%	2.34 42.7%	2.20 45.5%	2.10 47.6%	2.15 46.5%	2.30 43.5%	2.25 44.4%	2.36 42.4%	2.10 47.6%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	1.06 94.3%	1.11 90.1%	1.10 90.9%	1.07 93.5%	1.10 90.9%	1.05 95.2%
home_away	1.17 85.5%	1.24 80.7%	1.22 82.0%	1.18 84.8%	1.20 83.3%	1.17 85.5%
home_draw	2.88 34.7%	2.84 35.2%	2.75 36.4%	2.75 36.4%	2.92 34.3%	3.00 33.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet
Over 0.5	1.05 95.2%	1.03 97.1%
Over 0.75	—	1.05 95.2%
Over 1.0	—	1.06 94.3%
Over 1.25	—	1.19 84.0%
Over 1.5	1.30 76.9%	1.31 76.3%
Over 1.75	—	1.39 71.9%
Over 2.0	—	1.50 66.7%
Over 2.25	—	1.81 55.3%
Over 2.5	1.93 51.8%	—
Over 3.5	3.35 29.9%	—
Over 4.5	6.50 15.4%	—
Under 0.5	9.00 11.1%	—
Under 1.5	3.35 29.9%	—
Under 2.5	1.85 54.1%	—
Under 3.5	1.30 76.9%	—
Under 4.5	1.10 90.9%	—

Match center

Lecce

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Juventus

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

Kialonda Gaspar Medon Berisha Rikkardo Sottil Sadik Fofana Travmirovannye Khuan David Kabal Murilo Arkadiush Milik

Match center

Lecce

W D D L L

01.05 18:45 UTC Serie A

Lecce 2:1 Pisa

25.04 18:45 UTC Serie A

Lecce 0:0 Hellas Verona

20.04 18:45 UTC Serie A

Lecce 1:1 Fiorentina

12.04 16:00 UTC Serie A

Lecce 0:2 Bologna

06.04 13:00 UTC Serie A

Lecce 0:3 Atalanta

1 Wins

2 Draws

2 Losses

0.6 Scored

1.4 Conceded

5 Points

Juventus

D D W W W

03.05 16:00 UTC Serie A

Juventus 1:1 Hellas Verona

26.04 18:45 UTC Serie A

Juventus 0:0 AC Milan

19.04 18:45 UTC Serie A

Juventus 2:0 Bologna

11.04 18:45 UTC Serie A

Juventus 1:0 Atalanta

06.04 16:00 UTC Serie A

Juventus 2:0 Genoa

3 Wins

2 Draws

0 Losses

1.2 Scored

0.2 Conceded

11 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyLecce - Juventus

Lecce

2 matches total

Juventus

Lecce: 0 (0%)

Draws:1 (50%)

Juventus: 1 (50%)

Biggest win Juventus 1:2 (12.04 18:45 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 12.04 18:45 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (03.01 17:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 3

3 Goals conceded 2

Match history

03.01 17:00 UTC

Serie A

Lecce

1:1

Juventus

12.04 18:45 UTC

Serie A

Lecce

1:2

Juventus

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Lecce

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Juventus

35 Games 35

8 Wins 18

8 Draws 11

19 Losses 6

24 Scored 58

47 Conceded 30

32 Points 65

92.91 Attacks 106.94

39.82 Dangerous attacks 60.33

0 Big chances 0

9.49 Shots on goal 16.49

2.37 Shots on target 5.97

leniya 0.06 Goly Dushan Vlakhovich Andrea Kambyazo 0:1' Nakazaniya Shiku Konseysau 80' Gabi Zhan 82' VAR Dushan Vlakhovich 48' Per Kalyulyu 59'

Lechche Yuventus 35 Games 35 8 Wins 18 8 Draws 11 19 Losses 6 24 Scored 58 47 Conceded 30 32 Points 65 92.91 Attacks 106.94 39.82 Dangerous attacks 60.33 0 Big chances 0 9.49 Shots on goal 16.49 2.37 Udary v stvor 5.97 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 4.37 Uglovye 5.34 1.11 Offsaydy 1.66 12.86 Foly 11.86 42.46 % vladeniya myachom 57.49 1.74 Warnings 1.34 0.06 Sendoffs 0.06 Goly Dushan Vlakhovich Andrea Kambyazo 0:1' Nakazaniya Shiku Konseysau 80' Gabi Zhan 82' VAR Dushan Vlakhovich 48' Per Kalyulyu 59'