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Serie A Italy

03.05.2025 16:00 UTC Match prediction

03.05.2025 16:00 UTC

Finished

Serie A

Lecce - Napoli

Italy Football

Lecce

0 : 1

Finished

Napoli

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lecce - Napoli May 3, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Napoli.

Line favourite market consensus: Napoli. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 6.82 / X 3.93 / 2 1.58
1X2 market: Lecce 14.2% / X 24.6% / Napoli 61.2%
Total 2.5: over probability 54.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.4%

1 14.2%

X 24.6%

2 61.2%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.1%

Over 2.5 45.5%

Under 2.5 54.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 03.05.2025 16:00 UTC

Match center

Lecce - Napoli

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.58 market consensus · line only

X 3.93 market consensus · line only

1 6.82 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.12 market consensus · line only

12 1.29 market consensus · line only

1X 2.56 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.13 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.78 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	6.82 14.7%
X	3.93 25.5%
	1.58 63.3%

Double chance

Outcome	SStats Consensus
draw_away	1.12 89.3%
home_away	1.29 77.5%
home_draw	2.56 39.1%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	SStats Consensus
Over 2.5	2.13 47.0%
Under 2.5	1.78 56.2%

Home/Away

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	5.17 19.3%
	1.19 84.0%

Match center

Lecce

D L L D W

27.04 18:45 UTC Serie A

Lecce 1:1 Atalanta

19.04 13:00 UTC Serie A

Lecce 0:3 Como

12.04 18:45 UTC Serie A

Lecce 1:2 Juventus

06.04 10:30 UTC Serie A

Lecce 1:1 Venezia

29.10 17:30 UTC Serie A

Lecce 1:0 Hellas Verona

1 Wins

2 Draws

2 Losses

0.8 Scored

1.4 Conceded

5 Points

Napoli

W W W D W

27.04 18:45 UTC Serie A

Napoli 2:0 Torino

19.04 16:00 UTC Serie A

Napoli 1:0 Monza

14.04 18:45 UTC Serie A

Napoli 3:0 Empoli

07.04 18:45 UTC Serie A

Napoli 1:1 Bologna

29.10 19:45 UTC Serie A

Napoli 2:0 AC Milan

4 Wins

1 Draws

0 Losses

1.8 Scored

0.2 Conceded

13 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyLecce - Napoli

Lecce

1 matches total

Napoli

Lecce: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Napoli: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Napoli 0:1 (26.10 13:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 1 goals (0:1, 26.10 13:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 1

1 Goals conceded 0

Match history

26.10 13:00 UTC

Serie A

Lecce

0:1

Napoli