Match center
Start
11.01.2026 11:30 UTC
11.01.2026 11:30 UTC
Finished
Serie A
Lecce - Parma
1
:
2
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Lecce - Parma 11 января 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lecce.
Line favourite market consensus: Lecce. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.75 / X 2.91 / 2 2.91
- 1X2 market: Lecce 34.6% / X 32.7% / Parma 32.7%
- Total 2.5: over probability 63.5%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.1%
1
34.6%
X
32.7%
2
32.7%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 6.3%
Over 2.5
36.5%
Under 2.5
63.5%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Lecce - Parma
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
2
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.91
market consensus · line only
X
2.91
market consensus · line only
1
2.76
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.47
market consensus · line only
12
1.40
market consensus · line only
1X
1.41
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.49
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.16
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
2.86
market consensus · line only
2 +1
5.60
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.58
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.48
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.72
market consensus · line only
Yes
2.06
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 2.81 35.6% |
| Х | 2.97 33.7% |
| П2 | 2.98 33.6% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 2.78 36.0% | 2.69 37.2% | 2.84 35.2% | 2.70 37.0% | 2.75 36.4% | 2.75 36.4% |
| Х | 2.86 35.0% | 2.95 33.9% | 3.02 33.1% | 2.90 34.5% | 2.95 33.9% | 2.80 35.7% |
| П2 | 2.85 35.1% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.02 33.1% | 2.90 34.5% | 2.90 34.5% | 2.88 34.7% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | Unibet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.73 57.8% | 1.76 56.8% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.72 58.1% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.68 59.5% | 1.77 56.5% | 1.68 59.5% |
| yes | 2.05 48.8% | 2.08 48.1% | 2.06 48.5% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.06 48.5% | 2.13 47.0% | 2.10 47.6% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.48 67.6% | 1.49 67.1% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.47 68.0% | 1.48 67.6% | 1.48 67.6% |
| home_away | 1.33 75.2% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.38 72.5% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.44 69.4% |
| home_draw | 1.40 71.4% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.44 69.4% |
Match center
Lecce
L
D
L
W
L
06.01 17:00 UTC
Serie A
Lecce
0:2
AS Roma
AS Roma
03.01 17:00 UTC
Serie A
Lecce
1:1
Juventus
Juventus
27.12 14:00 UTC
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Lecce
0:3
Como
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12.12 19:45 UTC
Serie A
Lecce
1:0
Pisa
Pisa
07.12 11:30 UTC
Serie A
Lecce
0:2
Cremonese
Cremonese
1
Wins
1
Draws
3
Losses
0.4
Scored
1.6
Conceded
4
Points
Parma
L
D
W
L
W
07.01 19:45 UTC
Serie A
Parma
0:2
Inter
Inter
03.01 14:00 UTC
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Parma
1:1
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
27.12 11:30 UTC
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Parma
1:0
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
13.12 17:00 UTC
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Parma
0:1
Lazio
Lazio
08.12 14:00 UTC
Serie A
Parma
1:0
Pisa
Pisa
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
0.6
Scored
0.8
Conceded
7
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyLecce - Parma
Lecce
2
matches total
Lecce: 1 (50%)
Draws:1 (50%)
Parma: 0 (0%)
Biggest win
Lecce 1:0 (04.10 13:00 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
4 goals (2:2, 21.09 18:45 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
2:2 (21.09 18:45 UTC)
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
04.10 13:00 UTC
Serie A
Serie A
Lecce
1:0
Parma
21.09 18:45 UTC
Serie A
Serie A
Lecce
2:2
Parma