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Serie A
Serie A Italy
12.12.2025 19:45 UTC Match prediction
12.12.2025 19:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Lecce - Pisa

Italy Football
Lecce
Lecce
1 : 0
Finished
Pisa
Pisa

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lecce - Pisa December 12, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lecce.

Line favourite market consensus: Lecce. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.48 / X 2.84 / 2 3.39
  • 1X2 market: Lecce 38.4% / X 33.5% / Pisa 28.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 66.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 38.4%
X 33.5%
2 28.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.5%
Over 2.5 33.9%
Under 2.5 66.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 12.12.2025 19:45 UTC
Match center

Lecce - Pisa

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.40 market consensus · line only
X 2.84 market consensus · line only
1 2.48 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.55 market consensus · line only
12 1.42 market consensus · line only
1X 1.33 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.56 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.21 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.29 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.03 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.77 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.42 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.65 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.18 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.54 39.4%
X 2.86 35.0%
3.52 28.4%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.44 41.0% 2.48 40.3% 2.54 39.4% 2.40 41.7% 2.45 40.8% 2.50 40.0%
X 2.85 35.1% 2.85 35.1% 2.97 33.7% 2.80 35.7% 2.88 34.7% 2.85 35.1%
3.35 29.9% 3.50 28.6% 3.50 28.6% 3.20 31.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.35 29.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.65 60.6% 1.72 58.1% 1.62 61.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.62 61.7% 1.67 59.9% 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.68 59.5%
yes 2.15 46.5% 2.14 46.7% 2.19 45.7% 2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.20 45.5% 2.19 45.7% 2.27 44.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.53 65.4% 1.58 63.3% 1.53 65.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.55 64.5% 1.57 63.7%
home_away 1.36 73.5% 1.45 69.0% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.39 71.9% 1.44 69.4%
home_draw 1.30 76.9% 1.35 74.1% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.35 74.1% 1.34 74.6%
Match center
Lecce
L W L D W
07.12 11:30 UTC Serie A
Lecce 0:2 CremoneseCremonese
30.11 11:30 UTC Serie A
Lecce 2:1 TorinoTorino
23.11 17:00 UTC Serie A
Lecce 0:2 LazioLazio
08.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Lecce 0:0 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
02.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Lecce 1:0 FiorentinaFiorentina
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.0 Conceded
7 Points
Pisa
L L D W D
08.12 14:00 UTC Serie A
Pisa 0:1 ParmaParma
30.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Pisa 0:2 InterInter
24.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
Pisa 2:2 SassuoloSassuolo
07.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
Pisa 1:0 CremoneseCremonese
02.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Pisa 2:2 TorinoTorino
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.4 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLecce - Pisa

Lecce
0 matches total
Pisa
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history