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Serie A
Serie A Italy
18.10.2025 13:00 UTC Match prediction
18.10.2025 13:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Lecce - Sassuolo

Italy Football
Lecce
Lecce
0 : 0
Finished
Sassuolo
Sassuolo

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lecce - Sassuolo October 18, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sassuolo.

Line favourite market consensus: Sassuolo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.97 / X 3.07 / 2 2.64
  • 1X2 market: Lecce 32.4% / X 31.3% / Sassuolo 36.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.1%
1 32.3%
X 31.3%
2 36.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.7%
Over 2.5 41.9%
Under 2.5 58.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 18.10.2025 13:00 UTC
Match center

Lecce - Sassuolo

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.65 market consensus · line only
X 3.06 market consensus · line only
1 2.98 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.42 market consensus · line only
12 1.40 market consensus · line only
1X 1.51 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.41 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.15 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.59 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.34 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.30 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.66 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.84 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.93 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.09 32.4%
X 3.02 33.1%
2.68 37.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus
2.97 33.7% 3.00 33.3% 2.90 34.5% 2.93 34.1% 3.09 32.4% 3.09 32.4%
X 3.15 31.8% 3.17 31.6% 3.10 32.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.02 33.1% 3.02 33.1%
2.57 38.9% 2.73 36.6% 2.55 39.2% 2.67 37.5% 2.68 37.3% 2.68 37.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle William Hill
no 1.90 52.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.92 52.1% 1.80 55.6%
yes 1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6% 1.95 51.3% 1.90 52.6% 1.94 51.6% 1.95 51.3%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus William Hill
draw_away 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.41 70.9% 1.41 70.9% 1.40 71.4%
home_away 1.41 70.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.43 69.9% 1.43 69.9% 1.36 73.5%
home_draw 1.52 65.8% 1.50 66.7% 1.51 66.2% 1.52 65.8% 1.52 65.8% 1.50 66.7%
Match center
Lecce
W D L L L
04.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Lecce 1:0 ParmaParma
28.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
Lecce 2:2 BolognaBologna
19.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Lecce 1:2 CagliariCagliari
14.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Lecce 1:4 AtalantaAtalanta
29.08 18:45 UTC Serie A
Lecce 0:2 AC MilanAC Milan
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
4 Points
Sassuolo
W W L W L
03.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 1:0 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
28.09 10:30 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 3:1 UdineseUdinese
21.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 1:2 InterInter
14.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 1:0 LazioLazio
29.08 16:30 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 2:3 CremoneseCremonese
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.2 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLecce - Sassuolo

Lecce
0 matches total
Sassuolo
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history