Serie A
Serie A Italy
30.11.2025 11:30 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Lecce - Torino

Italy Futbol
Lecce
Lecce
2 : 1
Finished
Torino
Torino

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lecce - Torino 30 ноября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Torino.

Line favourite market consensus: Torino. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.12 / X 2.88 / 2 2.59
  • 1X2 market: Lecce 30.5% / X 32.9% / Torino 36.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 63.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.4%
1 30.4%
X 32.9%
2 36.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.8%
Over 2.5 36.3%
Under 2.5 63.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 30.11.2025 11:30 UTC
Match center

Lecce - Torino

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.60 market consensus · line only
X 2.89 market consensus · line only
1 3.13 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.37 market consensus · line only
12 1.40 market consensus · line only
1X 1.50 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.37 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.12 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.50 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.43 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.58 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.47 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.72 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.07 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.25 30.8%
Х 2.95 33.9%
П2 2.63 38.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.22 31.1% 3.00 33.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.20 31.3%
Х 2.88 34.7% 2.93 34.1% 3.00 33.3% 2.80 35.7% 2.90 34.5% 2.87 34.8%
П2 2.54 39.4% 2.61 38.3% 2.69 37.2% 2.60 38.5% 2.50 40.0% 2.57 38.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.73 57.8% 1.79 55.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.68 59.5% 1.75 57.1%
yes 2.00 50.0% 2.03 49.3% 2.06 48.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.02 49.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.06 48.5% 2.16 46.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.35 74.1% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.38 72.5% 1.39 71.9%
home_away 1.35 74.1% 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.39 71.9% 1.44 69.4%
home_draw 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.52 65.8%
Match center
Lecce
L D W L L
23.11 17:00 UTC Serie A
Lecce 0:2 LazioLazio
08.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Lecce 0:0 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
02.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Lecce 1:0 FiorentinaFiorentina
28.10 17:30 UTC Serie A
Lecce 0:1 NapoliNapoli
25.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Lecce 2:3 UdineseUdinese
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.2 Conceded
4 Points
Torino
L D D D W
24.11 17:30 UTC Serie A
Torino 1:5 ComoComo
08.11 17:00 UTC Serie A
Torino 0:0 JuventusJuventus
02.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Torino 2:2 PisaPisa
29.10 19:45 UTC Serie A
Torino 0:0 BolognaBologna
26.10 11:30 UTC Serie A
Torino 2:1 GenoaGenoa
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.6 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLecce - Torino

Lecce
2 matches total
Torino
Lecce: 1 (50%)
Draws:1 (50%)
Torino: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Lecce 1:0 (18.05 18:45 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (1:0, 18.05 18:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (15.09 13:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 1

Match history

18.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Lecce
1:0
Torino
15.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Lecce
0:0
Torino