Serie A
Serie A Italy
06.10.2024 16:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Monza - AS Roma

Italy Futbol
Monza
Monza
1 : 1
Finished
AS Roma
AS Roma

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Monza - AS Roma 6 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AS Roma.

Line favourite market consensus: AS Roma. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.42 / X 3.38 / 2 1.97
  • 1X2 market: Monza 22.0% / X 28.7% / AS Roma 49.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.0%
1 22.0%
X 28.7%
2 49.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.1%
Over 2.5 43.3%
Under 2.5 56.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 06.10.2024 16:00 UTC
Match center

Monza - AS Roma

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.97 market consensus · line only
X 3.38 market consensus · line only
1 4.42 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.24 market consensus · line only
12 1.36 market consensus · line only
1X 1.92 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.24 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.71 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 4.42 22.6%
Х 3.38 29.6%
П2 1.97 50.8%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.24 80.7%
home_away 1.36 73.5%
home_draw 1.92 52.1%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 2.24 44.6%
ТМ 2.5 1.71 58.5%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.17 31.6%
П2 1.39 71.9%
Match center
Monza
L L D D
29.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Monza 0:2 NapoliNapoli
22.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Monza 1:2 BolognaBologna
15.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Monza 1:1 InterInter
01.09 16:30 UTC Serie A
Monza 2:2 FiorentinaFiorentina
0 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.8 Conceded
2 Points
AS Roma
W W D D
29.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 2:1 Venezia
22.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 3:0 UdineseUdinese
15.09 10:30 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 1:1 GenoaGenoa
01.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 0:0 JuventusJuventus
2 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
1.5 Scored
0.5 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMonza - AS Roma

Monza
0 matches total
AS Roma
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history