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Serie A
Serie A Italy
22.09.2024 13:00 UTC Match prediction
22.09.2024 13:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Monza - Bologna

Italy Futbol
Monza
Monza
1 : 2
Finished
Bologna
Bologna

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Monza - Bologna 22 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bologna.

Line favourite market consensus: Bologna. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.22 / X 2.99 / 2 2.62
  • 1X2 market: Monza 30.3% / X 32.6% / Bologna 37.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 61.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.7%
1 30.2%
X 32.6%
2 37.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.1%
Over 2.5 38.2%
Under 2.5 61.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 22.09.2024 13:00 UTC
Match center

Monza - Bologna

Form 2/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.62 market consensus · line only
X 2.99 market consensus · line only
1 3.22 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.39 market consensus · line only
12 1.44 market consensus · line only
1X 1.54 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.54 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.57 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.22 31.1%
Х 2.99 33.4%
П2 2.62 38.2%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.39 71.9%
home_away 1.44 69.4%
home_draw 1.54 64.9%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 2.54 39.4%
ТМ 2.5 1.57 63.7%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.16 46.3%
П2 1.75 57.1%
Match center
Monza
D D
15.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Monza 1:1 InterInter
01.09 16:30 UTC Serie A
Monza 2:2 FiorentinaFiorentina
0 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
1.5 Scored
1.5 Conceded
2 Points
Bologna
D
14.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna 2:2 ComoComo
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMonza - Bologna

Monza
0 matches total
Bologna
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history