Serie A
Serie A Italy
15.09.2024 18:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Monza - Inter

Italy Futbol
Monza
Monza
1 : 1
Finished
Inter
Inter

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Monza - Inter 15 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Inter.

Line favourite market consensus: Inter. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 9.15 / X 5.00 / 2 1.38
  • 1X2 market: Monza 10.6% / X 19.3% / Inter 70.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.4%
1 10.6%
X 19.3%
2 70.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.1%
Over 2.5 53.6%
Under 2.5 46.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 15.09.2024 18:45 UTC
Match center

Monza - Inter

Form 1/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.38 market consensus · line only
X 5.00 market consensus · line only
1 9.15 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.08 market consensus · line only
12 1.22 market consensus · line only
1X 3.28 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.81 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.09 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 9.15 10.9%
Х 5.00 20.0%
П2 1.38 72.5%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.08 92.6%
home_away 1.22 82.0%
home_draw 3.28 30.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.81 55.3%
ТМ 2.5 2.09 47.9%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 7.29 13.7%
П2 1.12 89.3%
Match center
Monza
D
01.09 16:30 UTC Serie A
Monza 2:2 FiorentinaFiorentina
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMonza - Inter

Monza
0 matches total
Inter
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history