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Serie A Italy

36 round 11.05.2026 18:45 UTC Match prediction

11.05.2026 18:45 UTC 36 round

Finished

Serie A

Napoli - Bologna

Italy Football

Napoli

2 : 3

Finished

Bologna

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Napoli - Bologna May 11, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Napoli.

Line favourite market consensus: Napoli. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.56 / X 3.99 / 2 6.08
1X2 market: Napoli 60.7% / X 23.7% / Bologna 15.6%
Total 2.5: over probability 50.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.6%

1 60.7%

X 23.7%

2 15.6%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.0%

Over 2.5 49.6%

Under 2.5 50.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Stadium Diego Armando Maradona (Neapol, Italy), vmestimost: 60240

Referee Marko Pichchinini

Start 11.05.2026 18:45 UTC

Match center

Napoli - Bologna

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Napoli - Bolonya, 11 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Italy po futbolu (Seriya A) 2025-2026, 36 round. Napoli - Bolonya, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 6.50 Fonbet · line only

X 4.15 Fonbet · line only

1 1.55 Fonbet · line only

Double chance

X2 2.42 market consensus · line only

12 1.23 market consensus · line only

1X 1.12 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.45 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.86 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 5.45 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 1.53 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.92 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.89 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.80 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.94 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
	1.53 65.4%	1.62 61.7%	1.53 65.4%	1.50 66.7%	1.60 62.5%	1.53 65.4%
X	3.85 26.0%	4.22 23.7%	3.90 25.6%	3.75 26.7%	4.10 24.4%	3.90 25.6%
	6.40 15.6%	6.25 16.0%	5.50 18.2%	5.25 19.1%	6.60 15.2%	6.50 15.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor	Marathonbet	Unibet
no	1.80 55.6%	1.78 56.2%	1.83 54.6%	1.80 55.6%	1.80 55.6%	1.83 54.6%	1.75 57.1%	1.76 56.8%	1.82 55.0%
yes	1.95 51.3%	1.95 51.3%	1.95 51.3%	1.95 51.3%	1.95 51.3%	1.91 52.4%	1.95 51.3%	1.95 51.3%	1.92 52.1%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	2.40 41.7%	2.46 40.7%	2.40 41.7%	2.38 42.0%	2.47 40.5%	2.40 41.7%
home_away	1.20 83.3%	1.27 78.7%	1.25 80.0%	1.22 82.0%	1.24 80.7%	1.20 83.3%
home_draw	1.11 90.1%	1.16 86.2%	1.13 88.5%	1.12 89.3%	1.14 87.7%	1.10 90.9%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet
Over 0.5	1.05 95.2%	1.01 99.0%
Over 0.75	—	1.03 97.1%
Over 1.0	—	1.04 96.2%
Over 1.25	—	1.16 86.2%
Over 1.5	1.30 76.9%	1.28 78.1%
Over 1.75	—	1.36 73.5%
Over 2.0	—	1.46 68.5%
Over 2.25	—	1.76 56.8%
Over 2.5	1.90 52.6%	—
Over 3.5	3.25 30.8%	—
Over 4.5	6.25 16.0%	—
Under 0.5	9.00 11.1%	—
Under 1.5	3.45 29.0%	—
Under 2.5	1.85 54.1%	—
Under 3.5	1.33 75.2%	—
Under 4.5	1.11 90.1%	—

Match center

Napoli

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Bologna

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

David Neres Travmirovannye Martin Vitik Nikolo Kambyagi Nikolo Kazale

Match center

Napoli

D W L D W

02.05 16:00 UTC Serie A

Napoli 0:0 Como

24.04 18:45 UTC Serie A

Napoli 4:0 Cremonese

18.04 16:00 UTC Serie A

Napoli 0:2 Lazio

12.04 13:00 UTC Serie A

Napoli 1:1 Parma

06.04 18:45 UTC Serie A

Napoli 1:0 AC Milan

2 Wins

2 Draws

1 Losses

1.2 Scored

0.6 Conceded

8 Points

Bologna

D L L W W

03.05 10:30 UTC Serie A

Bologna 0:0 Cagliari

25.04 16:00 UTC Serie A

Bologna 0:2 AS Roma

19.04 18:45 UTC Serie A

Bologna 0:2 Juventus

12.04 16:00 UTC Serie A

Bologna 2:0 Lecce

05.04 13:00 UTC Serie A

Bologna 2:1 Cremonese

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

0.8 Scored

1.0 Conceded

7 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyNapoli - Bologna

Napoli

2 matches total

Bologna

Napoli: 0 (0%)

Draws:1 (50%)

Bologna: 1 (50%)

Biggest win Bologna 0:2 (09.11 14:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 2 goals (0:2, 09.11 14:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (07.04 18:45 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 3

3 Goals conceded 1

Match history

09.11 14:00 UTC

Serie A

Napoli

0:2

Bologna

07.04 18:45 UTC

Serie A

Napoli

1:1

Bologna

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Napoli

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Bologna

35 Games 35

21 Wins 14

7 Draws 7

7 Losses 14

52 Scored 42

33 Conceded 41

70 Points 49

99.91 Attacks 99.65

49.5 Dangerous attacks 45.41

0 Big chances 0

13.2 Shots on goal 12.91

4.66 Shots on target 3.83

iya 0.17 Goly Federiko Bernardeski Khuan Miranda 0:1 9' Rikkardo Orsolini 0:2 34' Dzhovanni Di Lorentso 1:2 45+2' Alisson Santos Rasmus Khoylund 2 48' Dzhonatan Rou 2:3 90+1' Nakazaniya Zhoau Mariu 38' Federiko Bernardeski 47' Eyvinn Khellann 58' Dzhon Lukumi 69' Matteo Politano 84'

Napoli Bolonya 35 Games 35 21 Wins 14 7 Draws 7 Losses 14 52 Scored 42 33 Conceded 41 70 Points 49 99.91 Attacks 99.65 49.5 Dangerous attacks 45.41 0 Big chances 0 13.2 Shots on goal 12.91 4.66 Udary v stvor 3.83 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 5.49 Uglovye 4.66 1.31 Offsaydy 1.97 11.4 Foly 13.14 58.4 % vladeniya myachom 55.66 1.26 Warnings 1.69 0.06 Sendoffs 0.17 Goly Federiko Bernardeski Khuan Miranda 0:1 9' Rikkardo Orsolini 0:2 34' Dzhovanni Di Lorentso 1:2 45+2' Alisson Santos Rasmus Khoylund 2 48' Dzhonatan Rou 2:3 90+1' Nakazaniya Zhoau Mariu 38' Federiko Bernardeski 47' Eyvinn Khellann 58' Dzhon Lukumi 69' Matteo Politano 84'