Serie A Italy

23.05.2025 18:45 UTC Match prediction

23.05.2025 18:45 UTC

Finished

Serie A

Napoli - Cagliari

Italy Futbol

Napoli

2 : 0

Finished

Cagliari

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Napoli - Cagliari 23 мая 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Napoli.

Line favourite market consensus: Napoli. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.19 / X 7.50 / 2 17.50
1X2 market: Napoli 81.5% / X 12.9% / Cagliari 5.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.1%

1 81.5%

X 12.9%

2 5.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 23.05.2025 18:45 UTC

Match center

Napoli - Cagliari

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

X 7.50 market consensus · line only

1 1.19 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 4.79 market consensus · line only

12 1.14 market consensus · line only

1X 1.04 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	SStats Consensus
П1	1.19 84.0%
Х	7.50 13.3%
П2	17.50 5.7%

Double chance

Outcome	SStats Consensus
draw_away	4.79 20.9%
home_away	1.14 87.7%
home_draw	1.04 96.2%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	SStats Consensus
ТБ 3.5	2.35 42.6%
ТМ 3.5	1.63 61.4%

Home/Away

Outcome	SStats Consensus
П1	1.06 94.3%
П2	12.28 8.1%

Match center

Napoli

D D W W W

18.05 18:45 UTC Serie A

Napoli 0:0 Parma

11.05 18:45 UTC Serie A

Napoli 2:2 Genoa

03.05 16:00 UTC Serie A

Napoli 1:0 Lecce

27.04 18:45 UTC Serie A

Napoli 2:0 Torino

19.04 16:00 UTC Serie A

Napoli 1:0 Monza

3 Wins

2 Draws

0 Losses

1.2 Scored

0.4 Conceded

11 Points

Cagliari

W L L W L

18.05 18:45 UTC Serie A

Cagliari 3:0 Venezia

10.05 13:00 UTC Serie A

Cagliari 1:3 Como

03.05 13:00 UTC Serie A

Cagliari 1:2 Udinese

28.04 18:45 UTC Serie A

Cagliari 2:0 Hellas Verona

23.04 16:30 UTC Serie A

Cagliari 1:2 Fiorentina

2 Wins

0 Draws

3 Losses

1.6 Scored

1.4 Conceded

6 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyNapoli - Cagliari

Napoli

1 matches total

Cagliari

Napoli: 1 (100%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Cagliari: 0 (0%)

Biggest win Napoli 4:0 (15.09 16:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 4 goals (4:0, 15.09 16:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

4 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 4

Match history

15.09 16:00 UTC

Serie A

Napoli

4:0

Cagliari