Match center
Start
30.08.2025 18:45 UTC
30.08.2025 18:45 UTC
Finished
Serie A
Napoli - Cagliari
1
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Napoli - Cagliari 30 августа 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Napoli.
Line favourite market consensus: Napoli. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.37 / X 4.69 / 2 9.23
- 1X2 market: Napoli 69.3% / X 20.4% / Cagliari 10.4%
- Total 2.5: over probability 52.1%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.1%
1
69.4%
X
20.3%
2
10.3%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.3%
Over 2.5
47.9%
Under 2.5
52.1%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Buy the full AI analysis
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Match center
Napoli - Cagliari
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
2
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
8.97
market consensus · line only
X
4.69
market consensus · line only
1
1.38
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
3.03
market consensus · line only
12
1.20
market consensus · line only
1X
1.07
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
2.98
market consensus · line only
2 -1
2.24
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
7.40
market consensus · line only
1 -0.5
1.40
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.00
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.84
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.57
market consensus · line only
Yes
2.33
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.41 70.9% |
| Х | 4.67 21.4% |
| П2 | 8.95 11.2% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 1.40 71.4% | 1.31 76.3% | 1.43 69.9% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.44 69.4% |
| Х | 4.45 22.5% | 5.20 19.2% | 4.80 20.8% | 4.80 20.8% | 4.33 23.1% | 4.55 22.0% |
| П2 | 8.40 11.9% | 10.00 10.0% | 9.15 10.9% | 10.00 10.0% | 8.50 11.8% | 9.25 10.8% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.55 64.5% | 1.56 64.1% | 1.55 64.5% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.57 63.7% |
| yes | 2.30 43.5% | 2.46 40.7% | 2.33 42.9% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.33 42.9% | 2.46 40.7% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 2.88 34.7% | 3.06 32.7% | 3.40 29.4% | 2.75 36.4% | 2.95 33.9% | 3.08 32.5% |
| home_away | 1.17 85.5% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.21 82.6% |
| home_draw | 1.07 93.5% | 1.08 92.6% | 1.06 94.3% | 1.08 92.6% | 1.09 91.7% | 1.07 93.5% |
Match center
Napoli
W
W
D
D
W
23.08 16:30 UTC
Serie A
Napoli
2:0
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
23.05 18:45 UTC
Serie A
Napoli
2:0
Cagliari
Cagliari
18.05 18:45 UTC
Serie A
Napoli
0:0
Parma
Parma
11.05 18:45 UTC
Serie A
Napoli
2:2
Genoa
Genoa
03.05 16:00 UTC
Serie A
Napoli
1:0
Lecce
Lecce
3
Wins
2
Draws
0
Losses
1.4
Scored
0.4
Conceded
11
Points
Cagliari
D
L
W
L
L
24.08 16:30 UTC
Serie A
Cagliari
1:1
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
23.05 18:45 UTC
Serie A
Cagliari
0:2
Napoli
Napoli
18.05 18:45 UTC
Serie A
Cagliari
3:0
Venezia
10.05 13:00 UTC
Serie A
Cagliari
1:3
Como
Como
03.05 13:00 UTC
Serie A
Cagliari
1:2
Udinese
Udinese
1
Wins
1
Draws
3
Losses
1.2
Scored
1.6
Conceded
4
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyNapoli - Cagliari
Napoli
2
matches total
Napoli: 2 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Cagliari: 0 (0%)
Biggest win
Napoli 4:0 (15.09 16:00 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
4 goals (4:0, 15.09 16:00 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
23.05 18:45 UTC
Serie A
Serie A
Napoli
2:0
Cagliari
15.09 16:00 UTC
Serie A
Serie A
Napoli
4:0
Cagliari