Match center
Start
04.10.2024 16:30 UTC
04.10.2024 16:30 UTC
Finished
Serie A
Napoli - Como
3
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Napoli - Como 4 октября 2024
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Napoli.
Line favourite market consensus: Napoli. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.54 / X 4.30 / 2 6.74
- 1X2 market: Napoli 63.0% / X 22.6% / Como 14.4%
- Total 2.5: over probability 53.0%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 3.0%
1
63.0%
X
22.6%
2
14.4%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 3.2%
Over 2.5
53.0%
Under 2.5
47.0%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Napoli - Como
Form
3/4
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
6.74
market consensus · line only
X
4.30
market consensus · line only
1
1.54
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
2.67
market consensus · line only
12
1.24
market consensus · line only
1X
1.14
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.83
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.06
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.54 64.9% |
| Х | 4.30 23.3% |
| П2 | 6.74 14.8% |
Double chance
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| draw_away | 2.67 37.5% |
| home_away | 1.24 80.7% |
| home_draw | 1.14 87.7% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| ТБ 2.5 | 1.83 54.6% |
| ТМ 2.5 | 2.06 48.5% |
Home/Away
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.19 84.0% |
| П2 | 5.17 19.3% |
Match center
Napoli
W
D
W
29.09 18:45 UTC
Serie A
Napoli
2:0
Monza
21.09 16:00 UTC
Serie A
Napoli
0:0
Juventus
Juventus
15.09 16:00 UTC
Serie A
Napoli
4:0
Cagliari
Cagliari
2
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
2.0
Scored
0.0
Conceded
7
Points
Como
W
W
D
L
29.09 13:00 UTC
Serie A
Como
3:2
Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona
24.09 18:45 UTC
Serie A
Como
3:2
Atalanta
Atalanta
14.09 13:00 UTC
Serie A
Como
2:2
Bologna
Bologna
01.09 18:45 UTC
Serie A
Como
0:1
Udinese
Udinese
2
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
2.0
Scored
1.8
Conceded
7
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyNapoli - Como
Napoli
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals