Serie A
Serie A Italy
01.11.2025 17:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Napoli - Como

Italy Futbol
Napoli
Napoli
0 : 0
Finished
Como
Como

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Napoli - Como 1 ноября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Napoli.

Line favourite market consensus: Napoli. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.95 / X 3.28 / 2 4.54
  • 1X2 market: Napoli 49.4% / X 29.4% / Como 21.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.8%
1 49.4%
X 29.4%
2 21.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.4%
Over 2.5 44.8%
Under 2.5 55.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.11.2025 17:00 UTC
Match center

Napoli - Como

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.56 market consensus · line only
X 3.28 market consensus · line only
1 1.95 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.90 market consensus · line only
12 1.36 market consensus · line only
1X 1.22 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.95 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.46 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.45 market consensus · line only
2 +1 8.05 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.16 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.75 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.85 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.91 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.95 51.3%
Х 3.28 30.5%
П2 4.71 21.2%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus
П1 1.95 51.3% 1.99 50.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3%
Х 3.30 30.3% 3.37 29.7% 3.10 32.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.28 30.5% 3.28 30.5%
П2 4.50 22.2% 4.60 21.7% 4.75 21.1% 4.50 22.2% 4.71 21.2% 4.71 21.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle William Hill
no 1.92 52.1% 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.81 55.3% 1.93 51.8% 1.83 54.6%
yes 1.89 52.9% 1.89 52.9% 1.95 51.3% 1.89 52.9% 1.93 51.8% 1.91 52.4%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus William Hill
draw_away 1.91 52.4% 1.83 54.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.94 51.6% 1.94 51.6% 1.85 54.1%
home_away 1.37 73.0% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.38 72.5% 1.38 72.5% 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.24 80.7% 1.18 84.8% 1.23 81.3% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0%
Match center
Napoli
W W L W L
28.10 17:30 UTC Serie A
Napoli 1:0 LecceLecce
25.10 16:00 UTC Serie A
Napoli 3:1 InterInter
18.10 16:00 UTC Serie A
Napoli 0:1 TorinoTorino
05.10 16:00 UTC Serie A
Napoli 2:1 GenoaGenoa
28.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Napoli 1:2 AC MilanAC Milan
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.0 Conceded
9 Points
Como
W D W D D
29.10 17:30 UTC Serie A
Como 3:1 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
25.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Como 0:0 ParmaParma
19.10 10:30 UTC Serie A
Como 2:0 JuventusJuventus
04.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
Como 1:1 AtalantaAtalanta
27.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Como 1:1 CremoneseCremonese
2 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.6 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNapoli - Como

Napoli
1 matches total
Como
Napoli: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Como: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Napoli 3:1 (04.10 16:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (3:1, 04.10 16:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 3

Match history

04.10 16:30 UTC Serie A
Napoli
3:1
Como