Serie A Italy

14.04.2025 18:45 UTC Match prediction

14.04.2025 18:45 UTC

Finished

Serie A

Napoli - Empoli

Italy Futbol

Napoli

3 : 0

Finished

Empoli

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Napoli - Empoli 14 апреля 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Napoli.

Line favourite market consensus: Napoli. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.37 / X 5.02 / 2 9.24
1X2 market: Napoli 70.4% / X 19.2% / Empoli 10.4%
Total 2.5: over probability 50.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.7%

1 70.4%

X 19.2%

2 10.4%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.6%

Over 2.5 50.5%

Under 2.5 49.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 14.04.2025 18:45 UTC

Match center

Napoli - Empoli

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 9.24 market consensus · line only

X 5.02 market consensus · line only

1 1.37 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 3.34 market consensus · line only

12 1.21 market consensus · line only

1X 1.09 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.93 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.97 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	SStats Consensus
П1	1.37 73.0%
Х	5.02 19.9%
П2	9.24 10.8%

Double chance

Outcome	SStats Consensus
draw_away	3.34 29.9%
home_away	1.21 82.6%
home_draw	1.09 91.7%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5	1.93 51.8%
ТМ 2.5	1.97 50.8%

Home/Away

Outcome	SStats Consensus
П1	1.12 89.3%
П2	7.49 13.4%

Match center

Napoli

D W W W W

07.04 18:45 UTC Serie A

Napoli 1:1 Bologna

29.10 19:45 UTC Serie A

Napoli 2:0 AC Milan

26.10 13:00 UTC Serie A

Napoli 1:0 Lecce

20.10 10:30 UTC Serie A

Napoli 1:0 Empoli

04.10 16:30 UTC Serie A

Napoli 3:1 Como

4 Wins

1 Draws

0 Losses

1.6 Scored

0.4 Conceded

13 Points

Empoli

D L D L L

06.04 13:00 UTC Serie A

Empoli 0:0 Cagliari

30.10 17:30 UTC Serie A

Empoli 0:3 Inter

27.10 10:30 UTC Serie A

Empoli 1:1 Parma

20.10 10:30 UTC Serie A

Empoli 0:1 Napoli

06.10 13:00 UTC Serie A

Empoli 1:2 Lazio

0 Wins

2 Draws

3 Losses

0.4 Scored

1.4 Conceded

2 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyNapoli - Empoli

Napoli

1 matches total

Empoli

Napoli: 1 (100%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Empoli: 0 (0%)

Biggest win Napoli 1:0 (20.10 10:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 1 goals (1:0, 20.10 10:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 1

Match history

20.10 10:30 UTC

Serie A

Napoli

1:0

Empoli