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Serie A
Serie A Italy
07.01.2026 17:30 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Napoli - Hellas Verona

Italy Football
Napoli
Napoli
2 : 2
Finished
Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Napoli - Hellas Verona January 7, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Napoli.

Line favourite market consensus: Napoli. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.33 / X 4.82 / 2 11.25
  • 1X2 market: Napoli 71.7% / X 19.8% / Hellas Verona 8.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.8%
1 71.7%
X 19.8%
2 8.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.3%
Over 2.5 45.2%
Under 2.5 54.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 07.01.2026 17:30 UTC
Match center

Napoli - Hellas Verona

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 4.84 market consensus · line only
1 1.33 market consensus · line only
2 10.00 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.35 market consensus · line only
12 1.19 market consensus · line only
1X 1.05 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.27 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.47 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 7.83 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.34 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.12 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.75 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.45 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.63 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.33 75.2%
X 5.01 20.0%
11.71 8.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.37 73.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.30 76.9%
X 4.60 21.7% 4.80 20.8% 5.01 20.0% 5.00 20.0% 5.00 20.0% 4.75 21.1%
11.50 8.7% 12.00 8.3% 11.50 8.7% 11.00 9.1% 11.25 8.9% 11.00 9.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 1.48 67.6% 1.48 67.6% 1.45 69.0% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.49 67.1% 1.44 69.4%
yes 2.55 39.2% 2.66 37.6% 2.58 38.8% 2.62 38.2% 2.67 37.5% 2.63 38.0% 2.58 38.8% 2.76 36.2% 2.72 36.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 3.10 32.3% 3.36 29.8% 3.40 29.4% 3.35 29.9% 3.44 29.1% 3.59 27.9%
home_away 1.18 84.8% 1.21 82.6% 1.17 85.5% 1.18 84.8% 1.20 83.3% 1.21 82.6%
home_draw 1.05 95.2% 1.05 95.2% 1.05 95.2% 1.07 93.5% 1.05 95.2% 1.06 94.3%
Match center
Napoli
W W L W W
04.01 11:30 UTC Serie A
Napoli 2:0 LazioLazio
28.12 14:00 UTC Serie A
Napoli 2:0 CremoneseCremonese
14.12 14:00 UTC Serie A
Napoli 0:1 UdineseUdinese
07.12 19:45 UTC Serie A
Napoli 2:1 JuventusJuventus
30.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
Napoli 1:0 AS RomaAS Roma
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.4 Conceded
12 Points
Hellas Verona
L L W W L
04.01 17:00 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 0:3 TorinoTorino
28.12 11:30 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 0:3 AC MilanAC Milan
14.12 14:00 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 2:1 FiorentinaFiorentina
06.12 19:45 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 3:1 AtalantaAtalanta
29.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 1:2 GenoaGenoa
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.2 Scored
2.0 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNapoli - Hellas Verona

Napoli
0 matches total
Hellas Verona
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history