Serie A
Serie A Italy
07.12.2025 19:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Napoli - Juventus

Italy Futbol
Napoli
Napoli
2 : 1
Finished
Juventus
Juventus

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Napoli - Juventus 7 декабря 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Napoli.

Line favourite market consensus: Napoli. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.55 / X 2.91 / 2 3.20
  • 1X2 market: Napoli 37.4% / X 32.7% / Juventus 29.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 63.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.8%
1 37.4%
X 32.8%
2 29.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.7%
Over 2.5 36.1%
Under 2.5 63.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 07.12.2025 19:45 UTC
Match center

Napoli - Juventus

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.20 market consensus · line only
X 2.92 market consensus · line only
1 2.55 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.53 market consensus · line only
12 1.41 market consensus · line only
1X 1.36 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.54 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.21 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.12 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.24 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.62 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.48 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.70 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.09 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.60 38.5%
Х 2.95 33.9%
П2 3.30 30.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 2.52 39.7% 2.58 38.8% 2.63 38.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.60 38.5%
Х 2.90 34.5% 2.95 33.9% 3.01 33.2% 2.88 34.7% 2.88 34.7% 2.95 33.9%
П2 3.15 31.8% 3.20 31.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.30 30.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.70 58.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.68 59.5% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.72 58.1% 1.67 59.9% 1.66 60.2% 1.74 57.5%
yes 2.05 48.8% 2.14 46.7% 2.09 47.9% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8% 2.15 46.5% 2.09 47.9% 2.18 45.9%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.50 66.7% 1.55 64.5% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.55 64.5% 1.54 64.9%
home_away 1.35 74.1% 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.39 71.9% 1.43 69.9%
home_draw 1.35 74.1% 1.38 72.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.37 73.0% 1.38 72.5%
Match center
Napoli
W W L D W
30.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
Napoli 1:0 AS RomaAS Roma
22.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
Napoli 3:1 AtalantaAtalanta
09.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Napoli 0:2 BolognaBologna
01.11 17:00 UTC Serie A
Napoli 0:0 ComoComo
28.10 17:30 UTC Serie A
Napoli 1:0 LecceLecce
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.6 Conceded
10 Points
Juventus
W D D W W
29.11 17:00 UTC Serie A
Juventus 2:1 CagliariCagliari
22.11 17:00 UTC Serie A
Juventus 1:1 FiorentinaFiorentina
08.11 17:00 UTC Serie A
Juventus 0:0 TorinoTorino
01.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus 2:1 CremoneseCremonese
29.10 17:30 UTC Serie A
Juventus 3:1 UdineseUdinese
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
1.6 Scored
0.8 Conceded
11 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNapoli - Juventus

Napoli
1 matches total
Juventus
Napoli: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Juventus: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (21.09 16:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

21.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
Napoli
0:0
Juventus