PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Serie A
Serie A Italy
26.10.2024 13:00 UTC Match prediction
26.10.2024 13:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Napoli - Lecce

Italy Football
Napoli
Napoli
1 : 0
Finished
Lecce
Lecce

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Napoli - Lecce October 26, 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Napoli.

Line favourite market consensus: Napoli. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.33 / X 5.40 / 2 10.64
  • 1X2 market: Napoli 72.9% / X 18.0% / Lecce 9.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.1%
1 72.9%
X 18.0%
2 9.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.0%
Over 2.5 54.2%
Under 2.5 45.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 26.10.2024 13:00 UTC
Match center

Napoli - Lecce

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 5.40 market consensus · line only
1 1.33 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.65 market consensus · line only
12 1.18 market consensus · line only
1X 1.08 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.79 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.12 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.33 75.2%
X 5.40 18.5%
10.64 9.4%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 3.65 27.4%
home_away 1.18 84.8%
home_draw 1.08 92.6%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.79 55.9%
Under 2.5 2.12 47.2%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.10 90.9%
8.67 11.5%
Match center
Napoli
W W W D W
20.10 10:30 UTC Serie A
Napoli 1:0 Empoli
04.10 16:30 UTC Serie A
Napoli 3:1 ComoComo
29.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Napoli 2:0 Monza
21.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
Napoli 0:0 JuventusJuventus
15.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
Napoli 4:0 CagliariCagliari
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.2 Conceded
13 Points
Lecce
L L L D D
20.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Lecce 0:6 FiorentinaFiorentina
05.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Lecce 0:1 UdineseUdinese
27.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Lecce 0:3 AC MilanAC Milan
21.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Lecce 2:2 ParmaParma
15.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Lecce 0:0 TorinoTorino
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.4 Scored
2.4 Conceded
2 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNapoli - Lecce

Napoli
0 matches total
Lecce
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history