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Serie A
Serie A Italy
27.04.2025 18:45 UTC Match prediction
27.04.2025 18:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Napoli - Torino

Italy Football
Napoli
Napoli
2 : 0
Finished
Torino
Torino

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Napoli - Torino April 27, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Napoli.

Line favourite market consensus: Napoli. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.41 / X 4.77 / 2 8.53
  • 1X2 market: Napoli 68.5% / X 20.2% / Torino 11.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.6%
1 68.5%
X 20.2%
2 11.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.4%
Over 2.5 51.2%
Under 2.5 48.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 27.04.2025 18:45 UTC
Match center

Napoli - Torino

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.53 market consensus · line only
X 4.77 market consensus · line only
1 1.41 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.11 market consensus · line only
12 1.22 market consensus · line only
1X 1.10 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.91 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.00 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.41 70.9%
X 4.77 21.0%
8.53 11.7%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 3.11 32.2%
home_away 1.22 82.0%
home_draw 1.10 90.9%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.91 52.4%
Under 2.5 2.00 50.0%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.13 88.5%
6.76 14.8%
Match center
Napoli
W W D W W
19.04 16:00 UTC Serie A
Napoli 1:0 Monza
14.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
Napoli 3:0 Empoli
07.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
Napoli 1:1 BolognaBologna
29.10 19:45 UTC Serie A
Napoli 2:0 AC MilanAC Milan
26.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Napoli 1:0 LecceLecce
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.6 Scored
0.2 Conceded
13 Points
Torino
W L D L W
23.04 16:30 UTC Serie A
Torino 2:0 UdineseUdinese
13.04 16:00 UTC Serie A
Torino 0:1 ComoComo
06.04 13:00 UTC Serie A
Torino 1:1 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
31.10 19:45 UTC Serie A
Torino 0:1 AS RomaAS Roma
25.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
Torino 1:0 ComoComo
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
0.6 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNapoli - Torino

Napoli
0 matches total
Torino
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history