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Serie A
Serie A Italy
06.03.2026 19:45 UTC Match prediction
06.03.2026 19:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Napoli - Torino

Italy Football
Napoli
Napoli
2 : 1
Finished
Torino
Torino

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Napoli - Torino March 6, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Napoli.

Line favourite market consensus: Napoli. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.56 / X 3.82 / 2 6.64
  • 1X2 market: Napoli 60.8% / X 24.9% / Torino 14.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 60.9%
X 24.9%
2 14.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.8%
Over 2.5 44.2%
Under 2.5 55.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 06.03.2026 19:45 UTC
Match center

Napoli - Torino

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.67 market consensus · line only
X 3.82 market consensus · line only
1 1.56 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.44 market consensus · line only
12 1.26 market consensus · line only
1X 1.11 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.45 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.88 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 5.70 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.56 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.16 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.71 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.66 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.16 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.57 63.7%
X 3.90 25.6%
7.13 14.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.55 64.5% 1.56 64.1% 1.60 62.5% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.62 61.7%
X 3.85 26.0% 3.90 25.6% 4.00 25.0% 3.60 27.8% 3.90 25.6% 3.90 25.6%
6.00 16.7% 7.00 14.3% 7.17 14.0% 6.00 16.7% 7.00 14.3% 6.50 15.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle Unibet
no 1.62 61.7% 1.66 60.2% 1.63 61.4% 1.70 58.8% 1.62 61.7% 1.67 59.9% 1.61 62.1% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9%
yes 2.20 45.5% 2.24 44.6% 2.17 46.1% 2.05 48.8% 2.20 45.5% 2.12 47.2% 2.17 46.1% 2.30 43.5% 2.12 47.2%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 2.40 41.7% 2.50 40.0% 2.40 41.7% 2.30 43.5% 2.40 41.7% 2.38 42.0%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.22 82.0%
home_draw 1.10 90.9% 1.13 88.5% 1.11 90.1% 1.12 89.3% 1.15 87.0% 1.08 92.6%
Match center
Napoli
W L D W W
28.02 17:00 UTC Serie A
Napoli 2:1 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
22.02 14:00 UTC Serie A
Napoli 1:2 AtalantaAtalanta
15.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Napoli 2:2 AS RomaAS Roma
07.02 17:00 UTC Serie A
Napoli 3:2 GenoaGenoa
31.01 17:00 UTC Serie A
Napoli 2:1 FiorentinaFiorentina
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.6 Conceded
10 Points
Torino
W L L D W
01.03 17:00 UTC Serie A
Torino 2:0 LazioLazio
22.02 11:30 UTC Serie A
Torino 0:3 GenoaGenoa
15.02 17:00 UTC Serie A
Torino 1:2 BolognaBologna
07.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Torino 2:2 FiorentinaFiorentina
01.02 11:30 UTC Serie A
Torino 1:0 LecceLecce
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.4 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNapoli - Torino

Napoli
2 matches total
Torino
Napoli: 1 (50%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Torino: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Napoli 2:0 (27.04 18:45 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (2:0, 27.04 18:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 2

Match history

18.10 16:00 UTC Serie A
Napoli
0:1
Torino
27.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
Napoli
2:0
Torino