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Serie A
Serie A Italy
36 round 10.05.2026 16:00 UTC Match prediction
10.05.2026 16:00 UTC 36 round
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Parma - AS Roma

Italy Football
Stadium Stadio Ennio Tardini
Parma
Parma
2 : 3
Finished
AS Roma
AS Roma

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Parma - AS Roma May 10, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AS Roma.

Line favourite market consensus: AS Roma. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 7.23 / X 4.26 / 2 1.46
  • 1X2 market: Parma 13.1% / X 22.3% / AS Roma 64.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.8%
1 13.1%
X 22.2%
2 64.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%
Over 2.5 47.5%
Under 2.5 52.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Stadium Ennio Tardini (Parma, Italy), vmestimost: 21473
Referee Daniele Kiffi (Paduya)
Start 10.05.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

Parma - AS Roma

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Parma - Roma, 10 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Italy po futbolu (Seriya A) 2025-2026, 36 round. Parma - Roma, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.30 Fonbet · line only
X 1.10 Fonbet · line only
1 7.21 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.10 market consensus · line only
12 1.21 market consensus · line only
1X 2.65 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.11 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.01 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.47 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.78 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.01 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.82 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.67 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.13 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
6.60 15.2% 7.75 12.9% 6.50 15.4% 7.00 14.3% 7.60 13.2% 7.50 13.3%
X 4.00 25.0% 4.50 22.2% 4.00 25.0% 4.33 23.1% 4.40 22.7% 4.33 23.1%
1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.44 69.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.50 66.7% 1.44 69.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Unibet
no 1.70 58.8% 1.63 61.4% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.65 60.6% 1.67 59.9% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.74 57.5%
yes 2.10 47.6% 2.16 46.3% 2.15 46.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.16 46.3% 2.02 49.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.11 90.1% 1.11 90.1% 1.11 90.1% 1.10 90.9% 1.12 89.3% 1.06 94.3%
home_away 1.18 84.8% 1.24 80.7% 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.21 82.6% 1.17 85.5%
home_draw 2.50 40.0% 2.77 36.1% 2.60 38.5% 2.62 38.2% 2.72 36.8% 2.70 37.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.05 95.2% 1.01 99.0%
Over 0.75 — 1.03 97.1%
Over 1.0 — 1.04 96.2%
Over 1.25 — 1.17 85.5%
Over 1.5 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9%
Over 1.75 — 1.39 71.9%
Over 2.0 — 1.50 66.7%
Over 2.25 — 1.84 54.4%
Over 2.5 2.00 50.0% —
Over 3.5 3.55 28.2% —
Over 4.5 7.00 14.3% —
Under 0.5 9.00 11.1% —
Under 1.5 3.30 30.3% —
Under 2.5 1.80 55.6% —
Under 3.5 1.28 78.1% —
Under 4.5 1.09 91.7% —
Match center
Parma

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

AS Roma

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

Matiya Frigan Travmirovannye Evan Fergyuson Lorentso Pellegrini Artem Dovbik Brayan Saragosa
Match center
Parma
L W W D D
03.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Parma 0:2 InterInter
25.04 13:00 UTC Serie A
Parma 1:0 PisaPisa
18.04 13:00 UTC Serie A
Parma 1:0 UdineseUdinese
12.04 13:00 UTC Serie A
Parma 1:1 NapoliNapoli
04.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
Parma 1:1 LazioLazio
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
0.8 Scored
0.8 Conceded
8 Points
AS Roma
W W D W L
04.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 4:0 FiorentinaFiorentina
25.04 16:00 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 2:0 BolognaBologna
18.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 1:1 AtalantaAtalanta
10.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 3:0 PisaPisa
05.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 2:5 InterInter
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.4 Scored
1.2 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyParma - AS Roma

Parma
1 matches total
AS Roma
Parma: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
AS Roma: 1 (100%)
Biggest win AS Roma 1:2 (29.10 17:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 29.10 17:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 1

Match history

29.10 17:30 UTC Serie A
Parma
1:2
AS Roma
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Parma
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 AS Roma
Parma Team comparison AS Roma
35 Games 35
10 Wins 20
12 Draws 4
13 Losses 11
25 Scored 52
42 Conceded 29
42 Points 64
83.11 Attacks 114.69
38.57 Dangerous attacks 54.16
0 Big chances 0
10.17 Shots on goal 12.69
2.69 Shots on target 4.46
Sendoffs 0.06 Goly Doniell Malen Paulo Dibala 0:1 22' Gabriel Strefezza Khans Nikolussi Kavilya 1 47' Mandela Keyta Nauel Esteves 2:1 87' Devayn Rensh Daniele Gilardi 2 90+4' Doniell Malen 2:3 90+11' Nakazaniya Gabriel Strefezza 48' Maryano Troylo 65' Sasha Brichgi 76' Sasha Brichgi 90+9'

Parma Roma 35 Games 35 10 Wins 20 12 Draws 4 13 Losses 11 25 Scored 52 42 Conceded 29 42 Points 64 83.11 Attacks 114.69 38.57 Dangerous attacks 54.16 0 Big chances 0 10.17 Shots on goal 12.69 2.69 Udary v stvor 4.46 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 4.03 Uglovye 5.03 1.17 Offsaydy 1.66 10.63 Foly 13.94 44.49 % vladeniya myachom 56.06 1.6 Warnings 1.86 0.11 Sendoffs 0.06 Goly Doniell Malen Paulo Dibala 0:1 22' Gabriel Strefezza Khans Nikolussi Kavilya 1 47' Mandela Keyta Nauel Esteves 2:1 87' Devayn Rensh Daniele Gilardi 2 90+4' Doniell Malen 2:3 90+11' Nakazaniya Gabriel Strefezza 48' Maryano Troylo 65' Sasha Brichgi 76' Sasha Brichgi 90+9'