Serie A
Serie A Italy
02.11.2025 17:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Parma - Bologna

Italy Futbol
Parma
Parma
1 : 3
Finished
Bologna
Bologna

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Parma - Bologna 2 ноября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bologna.

Line favourite market consensus: Bologna. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.21 / X 2.97 / 2 2.14
  • 1X2 market: Parma 22.8% / X 32.3% / Bologna 44.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 62.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.2%
1 22.8%
X 32.3%
2 44.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.5%
Over 2.5 37.3%
Under 2.5 62.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 02.11.2025 17:00 UTC
Match center

Parma - Bologna

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.14 market consensus · line only
X 2.97 market consensus · line only
1 4.22 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.25 market consensus · line only
12 1.42 market consensus · line only
1X 1.73 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.24 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.04 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.13 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.27 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.59 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.54 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.70 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.11 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 4.35 23.0%
Х 2.98 33.6%
П2 2.16 46.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus
П1 4.15 24.1% 4.24 23.6% 4.20 23.8% 4.15 24.1% 4.35 23.0% 4.35 23.0%
Х 2.99 33.4% 3.06 32.7% 2.90 34.5% 2.99 33.4% 2.98 33.6% 2.98 33.6%
П2 2.14 46.7% 2.21 45.3% 2.05 48.8% 2.16 46.3% 2.16 46.3% 2.16 46.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle William Hill
no 1.73 57.8% 1.66 60.2% 1.70 58.8% 1.65 60.6% 1.74 57.5% 1.70 58.8%
yes 2.12 47.2% 2.11 47.4% 2.05 48.8% 2.11 47.4% 2.17 46.1% 2.10 47.6%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus William Hill
draw_away 1.27 78.7% 1.22 82.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0%
home_away 1.43 69.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.43 69.9% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.36 73.5%
home_draw 1.74 57.5% 1.67 59.9% 1.74 57.5% 1.76 56.8% 1.76 56.8% 1.73 57.8%
Match center
Parma
L D D L W
29.10 17:30 UTC Serie A
Parma 1:2 AS RomaAS Roma
25.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Parma 0:0 ComoComo
19.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Parma 0:0 GenoaGenoa
04.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Parma 0:1 LecceLecce
29.09 16:30 UTC Serie A
Parma 2:1 TorinoTorino
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.6 Scored
0.8 Conceded
5 Points
Bologna
D D W W D
29.10 19:45 UTC Serie A
Bologna 0:0 TorinoTorino
26.10 17:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna 2:2 FiorentinaFiorentina
19.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna 2:0 CagliariCagliari
05.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna 4:0 PisaPisa
28.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna 2:2 LecceLecce
2 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.8 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyParma - Bologna

Parma
1 matches total
Bologna
Parma: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Bologna: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (06.10 13:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

06.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Parma
0:0
Bologna