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Serie A
Serie A Italy
30.09.2024 18:45 UTC Match prediction
30.09.2024 18:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Parma - Cagliari

Italy Futbol
Parma
Parma
2 : 3
Finished
Cagliari
Cagliari

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Parma - Cagliari 30 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Parma.

Line favourite market consensus: Parma. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.04 / X 3.66 / 2 3.78
  • 1X2 market: Parma 47.7% / X 26.6% / Cagliari 25.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%
1 47.7%
X 26.6%
2 25.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.8%
Over 2.5 54.3%
Under 2.5 45.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 30.09.2024 18:45 UTC
Match center

Parma - Cagliari

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.78 market consensus · line only
X 3.66 market consensus · line only
1 2.04 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.87 market consensus · line only
12 1.32 market consensus · line only
1X 1.30 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.79 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.13 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.04 49.0%
Х 3.66 27.3%
П2 3.78 26.5%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.87 53.5%
home_away 1.32 75.8%
home_draw 1.30 76.9%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.79 55.9%
ТМ 2.5 2.13 47.0%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.48 67.6%
П2 2.78 36.0%
Match center
Parma
D L
21.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Parma 2:2 LecceLecce
16.09 16:30 UTC Serie A
Parma 2:3 UdineseUdinese
0 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.5 Conceded
1 Points
Cagliari
L L
20.09 16:30 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 0:2 Empoli
15.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 0:4 NapoliNapoli
0 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
0.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyParma - Cagliari

Parma
0 matches total
Cagliari
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history