Serie A
Serie A Italy
27.02.2026 19:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Parma - Cagliari

Italy Futbol
Parma
Parma
1 : 1
Finished
Cagliari
Cagliari

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Parma - Cagliari 27 февраля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Parma.

Line favourite market consensus: Parma. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.29 / X 2.94 / 2 3.59
  • 1X2 market: Parma 41.4% / X 32.2% / Cagliari 26.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 61.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.5%
1 41.4%
X 32.2%
2 26.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.0%
Over 2.5 38.6%
Under 2.5 61.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 27.02.2026 19:45 UTC
Match center

Parma - Cagliari

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.61 market consensus · line only
X 2.94 market consensus · line only
1 2.29 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.62 market consensus · line only
12 1.39 market consensus · line only
1X 1.29 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.65 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.27 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.52 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.93 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.47 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.55 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.76 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.01 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.34 42.7%
Х 2.99 33.4%
П2 3.75 26.7%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 2.26 44.3% 2.31 43.3% 2.37 42.2% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.30 43.5%
Х 2.92 34.3% 2.97 33.7% 3.06 32.7% 2.90 34.5% 2.90 34.5% 2.92 34.3%
П2 3.50 28.6% 3.65 27.4% 3.75 26.7% 3.30 30.3% 3.70 27.0% 3.65 27.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.77 56.5% 1.84 54.4% 1.72 58.1% 1.70 58.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.71 58.5% 1.84 54.4%
yes 2.00 50.0% 1.97 50.8% 2.02 49.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 2.02 49.5% 2.04 49.0%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.62 61.7% 1.66 60.2% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.57 63.7%
home_away 1.33 75.2% 1.43 69.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.38 72.5% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.28 78.1% 1.32 75.8% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.31 76.3% 1.25 80.0%
Match center
Parma
W W W L L
22.02 17:00 UTC Serie A
Parma 1:0 AC MilanAC Milan
15.02 14:00 UTC Serie A
Parma 2:1 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
08.02 11:30 UTC Serie A
Parma 1:0 BolognaBologna
01.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Parma 1:4 JuventusJuventus
25.01 14:00 UTC Serie A
Parma 0:4 AtalantaAtalanta
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.8 Conceded
9 Points
Cagliari
D L L W W
21.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 0:0 LazioLazio
16.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 0:2 LecceLecce
09.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 0:2 AS RomaAS Roma
31.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 4:0 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
24.01 17:00 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 2:1 FiorentinaFiorentina
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.0 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyParma - Cagliari

Parma
2 matches total
Cagliari
Parma: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Cagliari: 2 (100%)
Biggest win Cagliari 0:2 (13.09 13:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 5 goals (2:3, 30.09 18:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 5
5 Goals conceded 2

Match history

13.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Parma
0:2
Cagliari
30.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Parma
2:3
Cagliari