Serie A Italy

03.05.2025 13:00 UTC Match prediction

03.05.2025 13:00 UTC

Finished

Serie A

Parma - Como

Italy Futbol

Parma

0 : 1

Finished

Como

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Parma - Como 3 мая 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Como.

Line favourite market consensus: Como. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.42 / X 3.48 / 2 2.23
1X2 market: Parma 28.4% / X 28.0% / Como 43.6%
Total 2.5: over probability 54.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%

1 28.4%

X 27.9%

2 43.6%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.3%

Over 2.5 54.4%

Under 2.5 45.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 03.05.2025 13:00 UTC

Match center

Parma - Como

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.23 market consensus · line only

X 3.48 market consensus · line only

1 3.42 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.36 market consensus · line only

12 1.34 market consensus · line only

1X 1.71 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.78 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.12 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	SStats Consensus
П1	3.42 29.2%
Х	3.48 28.7%
П2	2.23 44.8%

Double chance

Outcome	SStats Consensus
draw_away	1.36 73.5%
home_away	1.34 74.6%
home_draw	1.71 58.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5	1.78 56.2%
ТМ 2.5	2.12 47.2%

Home/Away

Outcome	SStats Consensus
П1	2.45 40.8%
П2	1.60 62.5%

Match center

Parma

D W D D D

28.04 18:45 UTC Serie A

Parma 2:2 Lazio

23.04 16:30 UTC Serie A

Parma 1:0 Juventus

13.04 13:00 UTC Serie A

Parma 0:0 Fiorentina

05.04 16:00 UTC Serie A

Parma 2:2 Inter

30.10 19:45 UTC Serie A

Parma 2:2 Juventus

1 Wins

4 Draws

0 Losses

1.4 Scored

1.2 Conceded

7 Points

Como

W W W W L

27.04 10:30 UTC Serie A

Como 1:0 Genoa

19.04 13:00 UTC Serie A

Como 3:0 Lecce

13.04 16:00 UTC Serie A

Como 1:0 Torino

05.04 13:00 UTC Serie A

Como 3:1 Monza

31.10 19:45 UTC Serie A

Como 1:5 Lazio

4 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

1.8 Scored

1.2 Conceded

12 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyParma - Como

Parma

1 matches total

Como

Parma: 0 (0%)

Draws:1 (100%)

Como: 0 (0%)

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 19.10 13:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (19.10 13:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 1

1 Goals conceded 1

Match history

19.10 13:00 UTC

Serie A

Parma

1:1

Como