Serie A
Serie A Italy
25.10.2025 13:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Parma - Como

Italy Futbol
Parma
Parma
0 : 0
Finished
Como
Como

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Parma - Como 25 октября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Como.

Line favourite market consensus: Como. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.30 / X 3.34 / 2 1.95
  • 1X2 market: Parma 22.4% / X 28.6% / Como 49.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.5%
1 22.3%
X 28.7%
2 49.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.1%
Over 2.5 43.8%
Under 2.5 56.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 25.10.2025 13:00 UTC
Match center

Parma - Como

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.94 market consensus · line only
X 3.34 market consensus · line only
1 4.34 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.23 market consensus · line only
12 1.33 market consensus · line only
1X 1.89 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.26 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.05 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.94 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.76 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.19 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.71 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.82 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.94 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 4.81 20.8%
Х 3.30 30.3%
П2 1.92 52.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
П1 4.70 21.3% 4.45 22.5% 4.55 22.0% 3.70 27.0% 4.60 21.7% 4.50 22.2%
Х 3.20 31.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.42 29.2% 3.50 28.6% 3.25 30.8% 3.25 30.8%
П2 1.88 53.2% 1.92 52.1% 1.98 50.5% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.87 53.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 1.77 56.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.76 56.8% 1.84 54.4% 1.95 51.3%
yes 1.95 51.3% 1.96 51.0% 1.93 51.8% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 2.04 49.0% 1.83 54.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 1.22 82.0% 1.24 80.7% 1.28 78.1% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.36 73.5% 1.28 78.1% 1.32 75.8% 1.36 73.5% 1.37 73.0%
home_draw 1.85 54.1% 1.92 52.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.93 51.8% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3%
Match center
Parma
D L W D L
19.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Parma 0:0 GenoaGenoa
04.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Parma 0:1 LecceLecce
29.09 16:30 UTC Serie A
Parma 2:1 TorinoTorino
21.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Parma 0:0 CremoneseCremonese
13.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Parma 0:2 CagliariCagliari
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.4 Scored
0.8 Conceded
5 Points
Como
W D D W D
19.10 10:30 UTC Serie A
Como 2:0 JuventusJuventus
04.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
Como 1:1 AtalantaAtalanta
27.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Como 1:1 CremoneseCremonese
21.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
Como 2:1 FiorentinaFiorentina
15.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Como 1:1 GenoaGenoa
2 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.8 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyParma - Como

Parma
2 matches total
Como
Parma: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (50%)
Como: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Como 0:1 (03.05 13:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 19.10 13:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (19.10 13:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 1

Match history

03.05 13:00 UTC Serie A
Parma
0:1
Como
19.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Parma
1:1
Como