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Serie A
Serie A Italy
13.12.2025 17:00 UTC Match prediction
13.12.2025 17:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Parma - Lazio

Italy Football
Parma
Parma
0 : 1
Finished
Lazio
Lazio

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Parma - Lazio December 13, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lazio.

Line favourite market consensus: Lazio. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.83 / X 3.21 / 2 2.09
  • 1X2 market: Parma 24.9% / X 29.7% / Lazio 45.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 24.8%
X 29.6%
2 45.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.8%
Over 2.5 41.5%
Under 2.5 58.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 13.12.2025 17:00 UTC
Match center

Parma - Lazio

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.09 market consensus · line only
X 3.21 market consensus · line only
1 3.84 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.27 market consensus · line only
12 1.35 market consensus · line only
1X 1.75 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.27 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.06 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.07 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.19 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.30 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.63 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.80 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.96 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.99 25.1%
X 3.27 30.6%
2.12 47.2%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
3.65 27.4% 3.95 25.3% 3.87 25.8% 3.60 27.8% 3.90 25.6% 3.85 26.0%
X 3.20 31.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.38 29.6% 3.10 32.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.20 31.3%
2.12 47.2% 2.08 48.1% 2.17 46.1% 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.78 56.2% 1.83 54.6%
yes 1.95 51.3% 1.97 50.8% 1.93 51.8% 1.91 52.4% 2.00 50.0% 1.93 51.8% 2.00 50.0% 1.93 51.8% 2.06 48.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.37 73.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5%
home_draw 1.70 58.8% 1.77 56.5% 1.70 58.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.78 56.2% 1.77 56.5%
Match center
Parma
W L W D L
08.12 14:00 UTC Serie A
Parma 1:0 PisaPisa
29.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Parma 0:2 UdineseUdinese
23.11 11:30 UTC Serie A
Parma 2:1 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
08.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
Parma 2:2 AC MilanAC Milan
02.11 17:00 UTC Serie A
Parma 1:3 BolognaBologna
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.6 Conceded
7 Points
Lazio
D L W L W
07.12 17:00 UTC Serie A
Lazio 1:1 BolognaBologna
29.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio 0:1 AC MilanAC Milan
23.11 17:00 UTC Serie A
Lazio 2:0 LecceLecce
09.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio 0:2 InterInter
03.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio 2:0 CagliariCagliari
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.8 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyParma - Lazio

Parma
1 matches total
Lazio
Parma: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Lazio: 0 (0%)
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (2:2, 28.04 18:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 2:2 (28.04 18:45 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 2

Match history

28.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
Parma
2:2
Lazio