Match center
Start
04.10.2025 13:00 UTC
04.10.2025 13:00 UTC
Finished
Serie A
Parma - Lecce
0
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Parma - Lecce 4 октября 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Parma.
Line favourite market consensus: Parma. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.96 / X 3.35 / 2 4.17
- 1X2 market: Parma 48.6% / X 28.5% / Lecce 22.9%
- Total 2.5: over probability 57.4%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.9%
1
48.7%
X
28.5%
2
22.9%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.9%
Over 2.5
42.6%
Under 2.5
57.4%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Parma - Lecce
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
4.18
market consensus · line only
X
3.35
market consensus · line only
1
1.96
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.85
market consensus · line only
12
1.33
market consensus · line only
1X
1.24
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.89
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.44
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
4.07
market consensus · line only
2 +1
8.55
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.24
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.66
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.79
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.97
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.99 50.3% |
| Х | 3.36 29.8% |
| П2 | 4.37 22.9% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 1.95 51.3% | 1.97 50.8% | 2.01 49.8% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.98 50.5% |
| Х | 3.35 29.9% | 3.45 29.0% | 3.47 28.8% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.40 29.4% |
| П2 | 4.00 25.0% | 4.15 24.1% | 4.34 23.0% | 4.20 23.8% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.35 23.0% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.77 56.5% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.78 56.2% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.77 56.5% | 1.86 53.8% |
| yes | 1.95 51.3% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.95 51.3% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.94 51.6% | 2.01 49.8% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.80 55.6% | 1.89 52.9% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.88 53.2% | 1.87 53.5% |
| home_away | 1.25 80.0% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.31 76.3% | 1.35 74.1% |
| home_draw | 1.22 82.0% | 1.26 79.4% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.26 79.4% |
Match center
Parma
W
D
L
D
L
29.09 16:30 UTC
Serie A
Parma
2:1
Torino
Torino
21.09 13:00 UTC
Serie A
Parma
0:0
Cremonese
Cremonese
13.09 13:00 UTC
Serie A
Parma
0:2
Cagliari
Cagliari
30.08 16:30 UTC
Serie A
Parma
1:1
Atalanta
Atalanta
24.08 18:45 UTC
Serie A
Parma
0:2
Juventus
Juventus
1
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
0.6
Scored
1.2
Conceded
5
Points
Lecce
D
L
L
L
D
28.09 16:00 UTC
Serie A
Lecce
2:2
Bologna
Bologna
19.09 18:45 UTC
Serie A
Lecce
1:2
Cagliari
Cagliari
14.09 13:00 UTC
Serie A
Lecce
1:4
Atalanta
Atalanta
29.08 18:45 UTC
Serie A
Lecce
0:2
AC Milan
AC Milan
23.08 16:30 UTC
Serie A
Lecce
0:0
Genoa
Genoa
0
Wins
2
Draws
3
Losses
0.8
Scored
2.0
Conceded
2
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyParma - Lecce
Parma
1
matches total
Parma: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Lecce: 0 (0%)
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
4 goals (2:2, 21.09 18:45 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
2:2 (21.09 18:45 UTC)
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
21.09 18:45 UTC
Serie A
Serie A
Parma
2:2
Lecce