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Serie A
Serie A Italy
18.05.2025 18:45 UTC Match prediction
18.05.2025 18:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Parma - Napoli

Italy Football
Parma
Parma
0 : 0
Finished
Napoli
Napoli

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Parma - Napoli May 18, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Napoli.

Line favourite market consensus: Napoli. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 7.25 / X 4.39 / 2 1.50
  • 1X2 market: Parma 13.4% / X 22.1% / Napoli 64.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.2%
1 13.4%
X 22.1%
2 64.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.6%
Over 2.5 50.3%
Under 2.5 49.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 18.05.2025 18:45 UTC
Match center

Parma - Napoli

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.50 market consensus · line only
X 4.39 market consensus · line only
1 7.25 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.12 market consensus · line only
12 1.25 market consensus · line only
1X 2.78 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.94 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.96 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
7.25 13.8%
X 4.39 22.8%
1.50 66.7%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.12 89.3%
home_away 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 2.78 36.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.94 51.6%
Under 2.5 1.96 51.0%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
5.66 17.7%
1.17 85.5%
Match center
Parma
L L D W D
10.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Parma 1:2 Empoli
03.05 13:00 UTC Serie A
Parma 0:1 ComoComo
28.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
Parma 2:2 LazioLazio
23.04 16:30 UTC Serie A
Parma 1:0 JuventusJuventus
13.04 13:00 UTC Serie A
Parma 0:0 FiorentinaFiorentina
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.0 Conceded
5 Points
Napoli
D W W W W
11.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Napoli 2:2 GenoaGenoa
03.05 16:00 UTC Serie A
Napoli 1:0 LecceLecce
27.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
Napoli 2:0 TorinoTorino
19.04 16:00 UTC Serie A
Napoli 1:0 Monza
14.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
Napoli 3:0 Empoli
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.8 Scored
0.4 Conceded
13 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyParma - Napoli

Parma
0 matches total
Napoli
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history