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Serie A
Serie A Italy
29.09.2025 16:30 UTC Match prediction
29.09.2025 16:30 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Parma - Torino

Italy Football
Parma
Parma
2 : 1
Finished
Torino
Torino

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Parma - Torino September 29, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Parma.

Line favourite market consensus: Parma. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.52 / X 3.00 / 2 3.11
  • 1X2 market: Parma 37.8% / X 31.7% / Torino 30.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 59.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 37.7%
X 31.7%
2 30.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.8%
Over 2.5 40.8%
Under 2.5 59.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 29.09.2025 16:30 UTC
Match center

Parma - Torino

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.11 market consensus · line only
X 3.00 market consensus · line only
1 2.53 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.54 market consensus · line only
12 1.39 market consensus · line only
1X 1.37 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.56 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.23 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.06 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.90 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.34 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.61 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.83 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.92 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.64 37.9%
X 3.02 33.1%
3.15 31.8%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.48 40.3% 2.53 39.5% 2.60 38.5% 2.40 41.7% 2.45 40.8% 2.52 39.7%
X 3.00 33.3% 3.05 32.8% 3.11 32.2% 3.00 33.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.05 32.8%
3.05 32.8% 3.15 31.8% 3.24 30.9% 3.00 33.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.10 32.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.80 55.6% 1.89 52.9% 1.82 55.0% 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.88 53.2%
yes 1.90 52.6% 1.92 52.1% 1.90 52.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.88 53.2% 1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6% 1.98 50.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.50 66.7% 1.56 64.1% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.55 64.5% 1.53 65.4%
home_away 1.33 75.2% 1.42 70.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.37 73.0% 1.41 70.9%
home_draw 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.39 71.9%
Match center
Parma
D L D L W
21.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Parma 0:0 CremoneseCremonese
13.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Parma 0:2 CagliariCagliari
30.08 16:30 UTC Serie A
Parma 1:1 AtalantaAtalanta
24.08 18:45 UTC Serie A
Parma 0:2 JuventusJuventus
25.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Parma 3:2 AtalantaAtalanta
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
5 Points
Torino
L W D L L
21.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Torino 0:3 AtalantaAtalanta
14.09 10:30 UTC Serie A
Torino 1:0 AS RomaAS Roma
31.08 16:30 UTC Serie A
Torino 0:0 FiorentinaFiorentina
25.08 18:45 UTC Serie A
Torino 0:5 InterInter
25.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Torino 0:2 AS RomaAS Roma
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
0.2 Scored
2.0 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyParma - Torino

Parma
0 matches total
Torino
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history