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Serie A
Serie A Italy
30.08.2025 18:45 UTC Match prediction
30.08.2025 18:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Pisa - AS Roma

Italy Football
Pisa
Pisa
0 : 1
Finished
AS Roma
AS Roma

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Pisa - AS Roma August 30, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AS Roma.

Line favourite market consensus: AS Roma. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.19 / X 3.56 / 2 1.74
  • 1X2 market: Pisa 18.4% / X 26.8% / AS Roma 54.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.8%
1 18.4%
X 26.8%
2 54.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.2%
Over 2.5 46.4%
Under 2.5 53.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 30.08.2025 18:45 UTC
Match center

Pisa - AS Roma

Form 1/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.74 market consensus · line only
X 3.56 market consensus · line only
1 5.22 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.17 market consensus · line only
12 1.29 market consensus · line only
1X 2.11 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.18 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.01 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.72 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.35 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.07 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.79 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.82 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.92 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
5.61 17.8%
X 3.56 28.1%
1.74 57.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
5.10 19.6% 5.10 19.6% 5.35 18.7% 4.80 20.8% 5.25 19.1% 5.70 17.5%
X 3.55 28.2% 3.70 27.0% 3.69 27.1% 3.50 28.6% 3.50 28.6% 3.55 28.2%
1.71 58.5% 1.74 57.5% 1.79 55.9% 1.73 57.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.77 56.5% 1.89 52.9% 1.79 55.9% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.87 53.5% 1.77 56.5% 1.86 53.8%
yes 1.93 51.8% 1.92 52.1% 1.94 51.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.87 53.5% 1.94 51.6% 2.00 50.0%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.15 87.0% 1.19 84.0% 1.18 84.8% 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.32 75.8% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5% 1.31 76.3%
home_draw 2.05 48.8% 2.14 46.7% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.15 46.5% 2.13 47.0%
Match center
Pisa
D
24.08 18:45 UTC Serie A
Pisa 1:1 AtalantaAtalanta
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points
AS Roma
W W W L W
23.08 18:45 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 1:0 BolognaBologna
25.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 2:0 TorinoTorino
18.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 3:1 AC MilanAC Milan
12.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 1:2 AtalantaAtalanta
04.05 16:00 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 1:0 FiorentinaFiorentina
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
0.6 Conceded
12 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPisa - AS Roma

Pisa
0 matches total
AS Roma
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history