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Serie A
Serie A Italy
02.03.2026 17:30 UTC Match prediction
02.03.2026 17:30 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Pisa - Bologna

Italy Football
Pisa
Pisa
0 : 1
Finished
Bologna
Bologna

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Pisa - Bologna March 2, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bologna.

Line favourite market consensus: Bologna. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.15 / X 3.28 / 2 1.97
  • 1X2 market: Pisa 22.9% / X 29.0% / Bologna 48.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 22.9%
X 28.9%
2 48.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5 43.4%
Under 2.5 56.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 02.03.2026 17:30 UTC
Match center

Pisa - Bologna

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.98 market consensus · line only
X 3.29 market consensus · line only
1 4.16 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.23 market consensus · line only
12 1.32 market consensus · line only
1X 1.85 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.26 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.03 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.97 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.90 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.20 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.69 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.82 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.93 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
4.32 23.2%
X 3.34 29.9%
2.01 49.8%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
3.95 25.3% 4.20 23.8% 4.30 23.3% 4.00 25.0% 4.10 24.4% 4.15 24.1%
X 3.25 30.8% 3.30 30.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.20 31.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.30 30.3%
1.96 51.0% 1.99 50.3% 2.05 48.8% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.98 50.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.80 55.6% 1.89 52.9% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.83 54.6% 1.79 55.9% 1.88 53.2%
yes 1.93 51.8% 1.92 52.1% 1.92 52.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.92 52.1% 2.00 50.0%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.22 82.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.17 85.5%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.37 73.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.32 75.8% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.80 55.6% 1.86 53.8% 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6%
Match center
Pisa
L L D L L
23.02 17:30 UTC Serie A
Pisa 0:1 FiorentinaFiorentina
13.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Pisa 1:2 AC MilanAC Milan
06.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Pisa 0:0 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
31.01 14:00 UTC Serie A
Pisa 1:3 SassuoloSassuolo
23.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Pisa 2:6 InterInter
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
0.8 Scored
2.4 Conceded
1 Points
Bologna
W W L L L
23.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Bologna 1:0 UdineseUdinese
15.02 17:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna 2:1 TorinoTorino
08.02 11:30 UTC Serie A
Bologna 0:1 ParmaParma
03.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Bologna 0:3 AC MilanAC Milan
25.01 14:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna 2:3 GenoaGenoa
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.6 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPisa - Bologna

Pisa
1 matches total
Bologna
Pisa: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Bologna: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Bologna 0:4 (05.10 13:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (0:4, 05.10 13:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 4
4 Goals conceded 0

Match history

05.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Pisa
0:4
Bologna