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Serie A
Serie A Italy
15.03.2026 14:00 UTC Match prediction
15.03.2026 14:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Pisa - Cagliari

Italy Football
Pisa
Pisa
3 : 1
Finished
Cagliari
Cagliari

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Pisa - Cagliari March 15, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Pisa.

Line favourite market consensus: Pisa. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.56 / X 2.88 / 2 3.15
  • 1X2 market: Pisa 37.0% / X 32.9% / Cagliari 30.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 63.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.5%
1 37.0%
X 32.9%
2 30.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.7%
Over 2.5 36.1%
Under 2.5 63.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 15.03.2026 14:00 UTC
Match center

Pisa - Cagliari

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.16 market consensus · line only
X 2.88 market consensus · line only
1 2.57 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.51 market consensus · line only
12 1.41 market consensus · line only
1X 1.36 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.52 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.18 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.05 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.19 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.62 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.48 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.70 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.09 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.62 38.2%
X 2.96 33.8%
3.25 30.8%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.50 40.0% 2.56 39.1% 2.66 37.6% 2.50 40.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.55 39.2%
X 2.86 35.0% 2.95 33.9% 3.00 33.3% 2.80 35.7% 2.90 34.5% 2.87 34.8%
3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.27 30.6% 3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.20 31.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.70 58.8% 1.74 57.5% 1.66 60.2% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.67 59.9% 1.65 60.6% 1.74 57.5%
yes 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.12 47.2% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.15 46.5% 2.11 47.4% 2.17 46.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.50 66.7% 1.54 64.9% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.44 69.4%
home_away 1.35 74.1% 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.39 71.9% 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.35 74.1% 1.39 71.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.37 73.0% 1.36 73.5%
Match center
Pisa
L L L L D
07.03 19:45 UTC Serie A
Pisa 0:4 JuventusJuventus
02.03 17:30 UTC Serie A
Pisa 0:1 BolognaBologna
23.02 17:30 UTC Serie A
Pisa 0:1 FiorentinaFiorentina
13.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Pisa 1:2 AC MilanAC Milan
06.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Pisa 0:0 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
0.2 Scored
1.6 Conceded
1 Points
Cagliari
L D D L L
07.03 14:00 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 1:2 ComoComo
27.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 1:1 ParmaParma
21.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 0:0 LazioLazio
16.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 0:2 LecceLecce
09.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 0:2 AS RomaAS Roma
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.4 Scored
1.4 Conceded
2 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPisa - Cagliari

Pisa
1 matches total
Cagliari
Pisa: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Cagliari: 0 (0%)
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (2:2, 21.12 11:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 2:2 (21.12 11:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 2

Match history

21.12 11:30 UTC Serie A
Pisa
2:2
Cagliari