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Serie A
Serie A Italy
30.10.2025 19:45 UTC Match prediction
30.10.2025 19:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Pisa - Lazio

Italy Football
Pisa
Pisa
0 : 0
Finished
Lazio
Lazio

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Pisa - Lazio October 30, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lazio.

Line favourite market consensus: Lazio. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.77 / X 3.14 / 2 2.15
  • 1X2 market: Pisa 25.3% / X 30.3% / Lazio 44.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 25.3%
X 30.4%
2 44.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5 41.4%
Under 2.5 58.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 30.10.2025 19:45 UTC
Match center

Pisa - Lazio

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.15 market consensus · line only
X 3.15 market consensus · line only
1 3.78 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.28 market consensus · line only
12 1.36 market consensus · line only
1X 1.72 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.29 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.06 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.13 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.38 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.31 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.63 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.81 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.95 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.87 25.8%
X 3.18 31.5%
2.20 45.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
3.80 26.3% 3.85 26.0% 3.84 26.0% 3.60 27.8% 3.80 26.3% 3.85 26.0%
X 3.05 32.8% 3.15 31.8% 3.26 30.7% 3.10 32.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3%
2.15 46.5% 2.16 46.3% 2.23 44.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.77 56.5% 1.87 53.5% 1.79 55.9% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.75 57.1% 1.77 56.5% 1.85 54.1%
yes 1.93 51.8% 1.95 51.3% 1.94 51.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.93 51.8% 2.00 50.0% 1.94 51.6% 2.03 49.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.25 80.0% 1.31 76.3% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.39 71.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.34 74.6% 1.39 71.9%
home_draw 1.70 58.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.72 58.1% 1.73 57.8%
Match center
Pisa
D D L D L
24.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
Pisa 2:2 AC MilanAC Milan
18.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Pisa 0:0 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
05.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Pisa 0:4 BolognaBologna
28.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Pisa 0:0 FiorentinaFiorentina
22.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Pisa 2:3 NapoliNapoli
0 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.8 Conceded
3 Points
Lazio
W D D W L
26.10 19:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio 1:0 JuventusJuventus
19.10 16:00 UTC Serie A
Lazio 0:0 AtalantaAtalanta
04.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Lazio 3:3 TorinoTorino
29.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio 3:0 GenoaGenoa
21.09 10:30 UTC Serie A
Lazio 0:1 AS RomaAS Roma
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.8 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPisa - Lazio

Pisa
0 matches total
Lazio
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history