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Serie A Italy

37 round 17.05.2026 10:00 UTC Match prediction

17.05.2026 10:00 UTC 37 round

Finished

Serie A

Pisa - Napoli

Italy Football

Pisa

0 : 3

Finished

Napoli

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Pisa - Napoli May 17, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Napoli.

Line favourite market consensus: Napoli. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 8.54 / X 4.77 / 2 1.37
1X2 market: Pisa 11.1% / X 19.8% / Napoli 69.0%
Total 2.5: over probability 53.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.7%

1 11.1%

X 19.8%

2 69.1%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.4%

Over 2.5 53.0%

Under 2.5 47.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: Pisa

Main outcome Pisa

Agreement 1/1

Confidence 50.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

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Match center

Stadium Arena Garibaldi — Romeo Ankonetani (Piza, Italy), 10 049 zriteley (57% pri vmestimosti 17 500)

Referee Franchesko Furno

Start 17.05.2026 10:00 UTC

Match center

Pisa - Napoli

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Piza - Napoli, 17 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Italy po futbolu (Seriya A) 2025-2026, 37 round. Piza - Napoli, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

6/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Post-match / SStats

Score 0:3

Events 17

Statistics 22

Lineups 46

min Event Player Team

21' 21' Normal Goal Napoli

27' 27' Normal Goal | A. Rrahmani Amir Rrahmani Napoli

53' 53' Yellow Card | E. Elmas E. Elmas Napoli

53' 53' Yellow Card | A. Calabresi Arturo Calabresi Pisa

59' 59' Substitution 1 | A. Buongiorno | assist/sub out: M. Olivera A. Buongiorno Napoli

59' 59' Substitution 2 | E. Elmas | assist/sub out: K. De Bruyne E. Elmas Napoli

60' 60' Substitution 2 | E. Akinsanmiro | assist/sub out: G. Piccinini E. Akinsanmiro Pisa

60' 60' Substitution 1 | F. Stojilkovic | assist/sub out: H. Meister Filip Stojilković Pisa

Metric Pisa Napoli SStats

Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 0.82 1.09 final

Zablokirovannye udary 0 3 final

Shots off target 2 2 final

Shots on target 2 5 final

Udary vsego 4 10 final

Fouls soversheno 13 8 final

Zheltye kartochki 2 2 final

Offsides 0 2 final

Pisa #1 Adrian Šemper, #3 Samuele Angori, #5 Simone Canestrelli, #81 Filip Stojilković, #4 A. Caracciolo, #14 E. Akinsanmiro, #32 Stefano Moreo, #8 Malthe Højholt, #33 Arturo Calabresi, #20 M. Aebischer, #7 Mehdi Léris

Napoli #1 A. Meret, #4 A. Buongiorno, #27 Alisson Santos, #37 L. Spinazzola, #8 S. McTominay, #13 Amir Rrahmani, #19 Rasmus Højlund, #20 E. Elmas, #31 Sam Beukema, #68 S. Lobotka, #22 Giovanni Di Lorenzo

Player Team Metric SStats

A. Buongiorno Napoli football.player.assists 0

A. Buongiorno Napoli football.player.minutes_played 59

A. Meret Napoli football.player.assists 0

A. Meret Napoli football.player.minutes_played 90

Alisson Santos Napoli football.player.assists 0

Alisson Santos Napoli football.player.minutes_played 80

Amir Rrahmani Napoli football.player.assists 0

Amir Rrahmani Napoli football.player.goals 1

Amir Rrahmani Napoli football.player.minutes_played 90

Antonio Vergara Napoli football.player.assists 0

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.37 market consensus · line only

X 4.77 market consensus · line only

1 8.54 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.07 market consensus · line only

12 1.17 market consensus · line only

1X 3.04 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.06 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 1.35 market consensus · line only

2 +1 1.58 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 7.00 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.79 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.02 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.69 market consensus · line only

Yes 2.08 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
	8.50 11.8%	8.55 11.7%	7.50 13.3%	9.50 10.5%	8.50 11.8%	9.00 11.1%
X	4.65 21.5%	5.11 19.6%	4.50 22.2%	4.50 22.2%	4.90 20.4%	4.75 21.1%
	1.36 73.5%	1.42 70.4%	1.36 73.5%	1.38 72.5%	1.42 70.4%	1.33 75.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor	Marathonbet	Unibet
no	1.70 58.8%	1.64 61.0%	1.75 57.1%	1.67 59.9%	1.70 58.8%	1.67 59.9%	1.67 59.9%	1.63 61.4%	1.71 58.5%
yes	2.10 47.6%	2.14 46.7%	2.00 50.0%	2.10 47.6%	2.07 48.3%	2.15 46.5%	2.05 48.8%	2.14 46.7%	2.07 48.3%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	1.07 93.5%	1.09 91.7%	1.08 92.6%	1.07 93.5%	1.10 90.9%	1.05 95.2%
home_away	1.14 87.7%	1.20 83.3%	1.18 84.8%	1.18 84.8%	1.18 84.8%	1.14 87.7%
home_draw	2.95 33.9%	3.10 32.3%	3.00 33.3%	3.00 33.3%	3.05 32.8%	3.10 32.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet
Over 0.5	1.04 96.2%	1.01 99.0%
Over 0.75	—	1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0	—	1.01 99.0%
Over 1.25	—	1.12 89.3%
Over 1.5	1.25 80.0%	1.22 82.0%
Over 1.75	—	1.29 77.5%
Over 2.0	—	1.36 73.5%
Over 2.25	—	1.65 60.6%
Over 2.5	1.80 55.6%	—
Over 3.5	3.00 33.3%	—
Over 4.5	5.75 17.4%	—
Under 0.5	10.00 10.0%	—
Under 1.5	3.80 26.3%	—
Under 2.5	2.00 50.0%	—
Under 3.5	1.38 72.5%	—
Under 4.5	1.13 88.5%	—

Match center

Pisa

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Napoli

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

Matteo Tramoni Daniel Denon Franchesko Koppola Travmirovannye Rosen Bozhinov Felipe Loyola CHAMP Matteo Politano CHAMP

Match center

Pisa

L L L L L

10.05 13:00 UTC Serie A

Pisa 0:3 Cremonese

01.05 18:45 UTC Serie A

Pisa 1:2 Lecce

25.04 13:00 UTC Serie A

Pisa 0:1 Parma

19.04 16:00 UTC Serie A

Pisa 1:2 Genoa

10.04 18:45 UTC Serie A

Pisa 0:3 AS Roma

0 Wins

0 Draws

5 Losses

0.4 Scored

2.2 Conceded

0 Points

Napoli

L D W L D

11.05 18:45 UTC Serie A

Napoli 2:3 Bologna

02.05 16:00 UTC Serie A

Napoli 0:0 Como

24.04 18:45 UTC Serie A

Napoli 4:0 Cremonese

18.04 16:00 UTC Serie A

Napoli 0:2 Lazio

12.04 13:00 UTC Serie A

Napoli 1:1 Parma

1 Wins

2 Draws

2 Losses

1.4 Scored

1.2 Conceded

5 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyPisa - Napoli

Pisa

1 matches total

Napoli

Pisa: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Napoli: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Napoli 2:3 (22.09 18:45 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 5 goals (2:3, 22.09 18:45 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 3

3 Goals conceded 2

Match history

22.09 18:45 UTC

Serie A

Pisa

2:3

Napoli

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Pisa

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Napoli

36 Games 36

2 Wins 21

12 Draws 7

22 Losses 8

25 Scored 54

66 Conceded 36

18 Points 70

81.51 Attacks 99.63

37.51 Dangerous attacks 49.6

0 Big chances 0

9.58 Shots on goal 13.22

2.86 Shots on target 4.67

eniya 0.06 Goly Skott Maktominey Rasmus Khoylund 0:1 21' Amir Rrakhmani Elif Elmas 0:2 27' Rasmus Khoylund Paskuale Matstsokki 0:3 90+2' Nakazaniya Arturo Kalabrezi 53' Elif Elmas 53' Antonio Karachcholo 78' Alisson Santos 78'

Piza Napoli 36 Games 36 2 Wins 21 12 Draws 7 22 Losses 8 25 Scored 54 66 Conceded 36 18 Points 70 81.51 Attacks 99.63 37.51 Dangerous attacks 49.6 0 Big chances 0 9.58 Shots on goal 13.22 2.86 Udary v stvor 4.67 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 3.69 Uglovye 5.53 1.78 Offsaydy 1.39 13.25 Foly 11.36 40.56 % vladeniya myachom 58.22 2.03 Warnings 1.25 0.14 Sendoffs 0.06 Goly Skott Maktominey Rasmus Khoylund 0:1 21' Amir Rrakhmani Elif Elmas 0:2 27' Rasmus Khoylund Paskuale Matstsokki 0:3 90+2' Nakazaniya Arturo Kalabrezi 53' Elif Elmas 53' Antonio Karachcholo 78' Alisson Santos 78'