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Serie A
Serie A Italy
08.12.2025 14:00 UTC Match prediction
08.12.2025 14:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Pisa - Parma

Italy Football
Pisa
Pisa
0 : 1
Finished
Parma
Parma

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Pisa - Parma December 8, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Pisa.

Line favourite market consensus: Pisa. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.53 / X 2.96 / 2 3.12
  • 1X2 market: Pisa 37.4% / X 32.1% / Parma 30.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 60.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.4%
1 37.5%
X 32.1%
2 30.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.4%
Over 2.5 39.5%
Under 2.5 60.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 08.12.2025 14:00 UTC
Match center

Pisa - Parma

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.13 market consensus · line only
X 2.96 market consensus · line only
1 2.54 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.53 market consensus · line only
12 1.39 market consensus · line only
1X 1.37 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.55 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.21 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.12 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.83 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.40 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.57 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.79 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.96 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.56 39.1%
X 3.01 33.2%
3.28 30.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.52 39.7% 2.54 39.4% 2.63 38.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.60 38.5% 2.50 40.0%
X 2.88 34.7% 2.97 33.7% 3.09 32.4% 2.90 34.5% 2.90 34.5% 2.95 33.9%
3.20 31.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.21 31.2% 2.90 34.5% 3.00 33.3% 3.20 31.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.77 56.5% 1.86 53.8% 1.77 56.5% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.85 54.1%
yes 1.93 51.8% 1.95 51.3% 1.96 51.0% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 1.93 51.8% 1.95 51.3% 1.96 51.0% 2.03 49.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.50 66.7% 1.55 64.5% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.55 64.5% 1.55 64.5%
home_away 1.35 74.1% 1.42 70.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.37 73.0% 1.42 70.4%
home_draw 1.35 74.1% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.37 73.0% 1.39 71.9%
Match center
Pisa
L D W D D
30.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Pisa 0:2 InterInter
24.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
Pisa 2:2 SassuoloSassuolo
07.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
Pisa 1:0 CremoneseCremonese
02.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Pisa 2:2 TorinoTorino
30.10 19:45 UTC Serie A
Pisa 0:0 LazioLazio
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.2 Conceded
6 Points
Parma
L W D L L
29.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Parma 0:2 UdineseUdinese
23.11 11:30 UTC Serie A
Parma 2:1 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
08.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
Parma 2:2 AC MilanAC Milan
02.11 17:00 UTC Serie A
Parma 1:3 BolognaBologna
29.10 17:30 UTC Serie A
Parma 1:2 AS RomaAS Roma
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.2 Scored
2.0 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPisa - Parma

Pisa
0 matches total
Parma
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history