Serie A
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Sassuolo — 44%
Model estimate: win Sassuolo 43.6%, draw 28.6%, win Cagliari 27.8%. Model favourite — Sassuolo.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sassuolo.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model consensus
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Sassuolo: Win 2.10 Sassuolo: Draw 3.00 Cagliari Win: 3.90 Obschiy total golov bolshe 2.5: 2.20 Obschiy total golov menshe 2.5: 1.67 Individualnyy total golov Sassuolo bolshe 1.5: 2.10 Individualnyy total golov Sassuolo menshe 1.5: 1.67 Individualnyy total golov Cagliari bo…
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.06 48.5% | 2.17 46.1% | 2.21 45.3% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.10 47.6% | |
| X | 2.96 33.8% | 3.15 31.8% | 3.15 31.8% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.05 32.8% |
| 4.00 25.0% | 3.80 26.3% | 4.07 24.6% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.90 25.6% | 4.00 25.0% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.91 52.4% | 1.96 51.0% | 1.86 53.8% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.84 54.4% |
| yes | 1.83 54.6% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.86 53.8% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.86 53.8% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.70 58.8% | 1.74 57.5% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.67 59.9% |
| home_away | 1.30 76.9% | 1.41 70.9% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.35 74.1% | 1.30 76.9% |
| home_draw | 1.25 80.0% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.25 80.0% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.08 92.6% | — | 1.04 96.2% |
| Over 0.75 | — | — | 1.06 94.3% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.08 92.6% |
| Over 1.25 | — | — | 1.22 82.0% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.38 72.5% | — | 1.35 74.1% |
| Over 1.75 | — | — | 1.44 69.4% |
| Over 2.25 | — | 1.95 51.3% | — |
| Over 2.5 | 2.10 47.6% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 3.80 26.3% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.50 13.3% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.50 13.3% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 3.00 33.3% | — | — |
| Under 2.25 | — | 1.95 51.3% | — |
| Under 2.5 | 1.70 58.8% | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.25 80.0% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.08 92.6% | — | — |
Sassuolo
Cagliari
Sassuolo
Cagliari
Sassuolo
Juventus
Bologna
Lazio
Atalanta
Hellas Verona
Cagliari
Napoli
Pisa
Como
Parma
Lazio
Full head-to-head historySassuolo - Cagliari
Serie A
Cagliari
The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.
The Sassuolo - Cagliari breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
