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Serie A
Serie A Italy
03.11.2025 17:30 UTC Match prediction
03.11.2025 17:30 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Sassuolo - Genoa

Italy Football
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
1 : 2
Finished
Genoa
Genoa

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sassuolo - Genoa November 3, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sassuolo.

Line favourite market consensus: Sassuolo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.41 / X 2.94 / 2 3.38
  • 1X2 market: Sassuolo 39.5% / X 32.4% / Genoa 28.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 63.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 39.5%
X 32.4%
2 28.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.3%
Over 2.5 36.3%
Under 2.5 63.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 03.11.2025 17:30 UTC
Match center

Sassuolo - Genoa

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.39 market consensus · line only
X 2.95 market consensus · line only
1 2.41 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.57 market consensus · line only
12 1.40 market consensus · line only
1X 1.34 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.60 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.22 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.26 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.43 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.62 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.49 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.69 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.10 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.44 41.0%
X 3.04 32.9%
3.47 28.8%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.38 42.0% 2.38 42.0% 2.54 39.4% 2.38 42.0% 2.35 42.6% 2.40 41.7%
X 2.92 34.3% 2.93 34.1% 3.02 33.1% 2.90 34.5% 2.90 34.5% 3.00 33.3%
3.35 29.9% 3.55 28.2% 3.46 28.9% 3.25 30.8% 3.50 28.6% 3.35 29.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.67 59.9% 1.73 57.8% 1.68 59.5% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.66 60.2% 1.72 58.1%
yes 2.10 47.6% 2.11 47.4% 2.09 47.9% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.07 48.3% 2.15 46.5% 2.09 47.9% 2.20 45.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.55 64.5% 1.58 63.3% 1.53 65.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.58 63.3%
home_away 1.35 74.1% 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.37 73.0% 1.44 69.4%
home_draw 1.30 76.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.35 74.1% 1.35 74.1%
Match center
Sassuolo
W L D W W
30.10 17:30 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 2:1 CagliariCagliari
26.10 14:00 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 0:1 AS RomaAS Roma
18.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 0:0 LecceLecce
03.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 1:0 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
28.09 10:30 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 3:1 UdineseUdinese
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
0.6 Conceded
10 Points
Genoa
L L D L L
29.10 19:45 UTC Serie A
Genoa 0:2 CremoneseCremonese
26.10 11:30 UTC Serie A
Genoa 1:2 TorinoTorino
19.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa 0:0 ParmaParma
05.10 16:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa 1:2 NapoliNapoli
29.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Genoa 0:3 LazioLazio
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
0.4 Scored
1.8 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historySassuolo - Genoa

Sassuolo
0 matches total
Genoa
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history