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Serie A Italy

20.02.2026 19:45 UTC Match prediction

20.02.2026 19:45 UTC

Finished

Serie A

Sassuolo - Hellas Verona

Italy Football

Sassuolo

3 : 0

Finished

Hellas Verona

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sassuolo - Hellas Verona February 20, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sassuolo.

Line favourite Fonbet: Sassuolo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.78 / X 3.35 / 2 5.20
1X2 market: Sassuolo 53.4% / X 28.4% / Hellas Verona 18.3%
Total 2.5: over probability 57.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%

1 53.4%

X 28.4%

2 18.3%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.1%

Over 2.5 42.3%

Under 2.5 57.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 20.02.2026 19:45 UTC

Match center

Sassuolo - Hellas Verona

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 5.20 Fonbet · line only

X 3.35 Fonbet · line only

1 1.78 Fonbet · line only

Double chance

X2 2.05 Fonbet · line only

12 1.33 Fonbet · line only

1X 1.16 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.08 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.50 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 4.89 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 1.76 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.25 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.72 Fonbet · line only

Yes 2.07 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.77 56.5%
X	3.47 28.8%
	5.53 18.1%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	1.75 57.1%	1.75 57.1%	1.83 54.6%	1.75 57.1%	1.75 57.1%	1.83 54.6%
X	3.30 30.3%	3.50 28.6%	3.48 28.7%	3.25 30.8%	3.40 29.4%	3.40 29.4%
	5.10 19.6%	5.40 18.5%	5.47 18.3%	4.80 20.8%	5.25 19.1%	5.40 18.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Betway	Bwin
no	1.73 57.8%	1.76 56.8%	1.68 59.5%	1.73 57.8%	1.70 58.8%	1.72 58.1%	1.73 57.8%	1.70 58.8%	1.66 60.2%
yes	2.05 48.8%	2.08 48.1%	2.08 48.1%	2.00 50.0%	2.05 48.8%	2.05 48.8%	2.05 48.8%	2.10 47.6%	2.05 48.8%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	2.00 50.0%	2.08 48.1%	2.00 50.0%	2.00 50.0%	2.05 48.8%	2.00 50.0%
home_away	1.25 80.0%	1.35 74.1%	1.33 75.2%	1.30 76.9%	1.31 76.3%	1.25 80.0%
home_draw	1.15 87.0%	1.19 84.0%	1.17 85.5%	1.17 85.5%	1.19 84.0%	1.14 87.7%

Match center

Sassuolo

W L W W L

15.02 11:30 UTC Serie A

Sassuolo 2:1 Udinese

08.02 17:00 UTC Serie A

Sassuolo 0:5 Inter

31.01 14:00 UTC Serie A

Sassuolo 3:1 Pisa

25.01 11:30 UTC Serie A

Sassuolo 1:0 Cremonese

17.01 17:00 UTC Serie A

Sassuolo 0:1 Napoli

3 Wins

0 Draws

2 Losses

1.2 Scored

1.6 Conceded

9 Points

Hellas Verona

L D L L D

15.02 14:00 UTC Serie A

Hellas Verona 1:2 Parma

06.02 19:45 UTC Serie A

Hellas Verona 0:0 Pisa

31.01 19:45 UTC Serie A

Hellas Verona 0:4 Cagliari

26.01 19:45 UTC Serie A

Hellas Verona 1:3 Udinese

19.01 17:30 UTC Serie A

Hellas Verona 0:0 Cremonese

0 Wins

2 Draws

3 Losses

0.4 Scored

1.8 Conceded

2 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historySassuolo - Hellas Verona

Sassuolo

1 matches total

Hellas Verona

Sassuolo: 1 (100%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Hellas Verona: 0 (0%)

Biggest win Sassuolo 1:0 (03.10 18:45 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 1 goals (1:0, 03.10 18:45 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 1

Match history

03.10 18:45 UTC

Serie A

Sassuolo

1:0

Hellas Verona