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Serie A
Serie A Italy
21.12.2025 14:00 UTC Match prediction
21.12.2025 14:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Sassuolo - Torino

Italy Football
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
0 : 1
Finished
Torino
Torino

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sassuolo - Torino December 21, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sassuolo.

Line favourite market consensus: Sassuolo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.43 / X 3.05 / 2 3.17
  • 1X2 market: Sassuolo 39.0% / X 31.1% / Torino 29.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.5%
1 39.0%
X 31.1%
2 29.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.9%
Over 2.5 42.9%
Under 2.5 57.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 21.12.2025 14:00 UTC
Match center

Sassuolo - Torino

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.18 market consensus · line only
X 3.05 market consensus · line only
1 2.43 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.57 market consensus · line only
12 1.37 market consensus · line only
1X 1.36 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.59 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.24 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.11 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.70 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.22 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.67 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.90 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.85 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.46 40.7%
X 3.06 32.7%
3.28 30.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.36 42.4% 2.44 41.0% 2.52 39.7% 2.40 41.7% 2.45 40.8% 2.42 41.3%
X 3.10 32.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3% 2.90 34.5% 3.10 32.3% 3.10 32.3%
3.15 31.8% 3.25 30.8% 3.28 30.5% 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.90 52.6% 1.98 50.5% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.98 50.5%
yes 1.85 54.1% 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.83 54.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.55 64.5% 1.59 62.9% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.60 62.5% 1.59 62.9%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.35 74.1% 1.40 71.4%
home_draw 1.35 74.1% 1.39 71.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.38 72.5% 1.38 72.5%
Match center
Sassuolo
D W L D W
14.12 11:30 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 2:2 AC MilanAC Milan
06.12 14:00 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 3:1 FiorentinaFiorentina
28.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 0:2 ComoComo
24.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 2:2 PisaPisa
09.11 11:30 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 3:0 AtalantaAtalanta
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.4 Conceded
8 Points
Torino
W L L L D
13.12 14:00 UTC Serie A
Torino 1:0 CremoneseCremonese
08.12 19:45 UTC Serie A
Torino 2:3 AC MilanAC Milan
30.11 11:30 UTC Serie A
Torino 1:2 LecceLecce
24.11 17:30 UTC Serie A
Torino 1:5 ComoComo
08.11 17:00 UTC Serie A
Torino 0:0 JuventusJuventus
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historySassuolo - Torino

Sassuolo
0 matches total
Torino
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history