Serie A
Serie A Italy
27.12.2025 14:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Torino - Cagliari

Italy Futbol
Torino
Torino
1 : 2
Finished
Cagliari
Cagliari

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Torino - Cagliari 27 декабря 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Torino.

Line favourite market consensus: Torino. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.87 / X 3.34 / 2 4.59
  • 1X2 market: Torino 50.7% / X 28.5% / Cagliari 20.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 50.8%
X 28.5%
2 20.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.4%
Over 2.5 43.3%
Under 2.5 56.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 27.12.2025 14:00 UTC
Match center

Torino - Cagliari

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.60 market consensus · line only
X 3.34 market consensus · line only
1 1.88 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.93 market consensus · line only
12 1.33 market consensus · line only
1X 1.21 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.99 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.47 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.40 market consensus · line only
2 +1 9.40 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.21 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.69 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.81 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.96 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.89 52.9%
Х 3.43 29.2%
П2 4.79 20.9%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 1.88 53.2% 1.86 53.8% 1.94 51.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6%
Х 3.30 30.3% 3.45 29.0% 3.48 28.7% 3.20 31.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.40 29.4%
П2 4.40 22.7% 4.70 21.3% 4.70 21.3% 4.20 23.8% 4.75 21.1% 4.90 20.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.76 56.8% 1.85 54.1%
yes 1.95 51.3% 1.98 50.5% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 2.03 49.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.85 54.1% 1.96 51.0% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.98 50.5% 1.95 51.3%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.31 76.3% 1.35 74.1%
home_draw 1.20 83.3% 1.23 81.3% 1.22 82.0% 1.18 84.8% 1.21 82.6% 1.22 82.0%
Match center
Torino
W W L L L
21.12 14:00 UTC Serie A
Torino 1:0 SassuoloSassuolo
13.12 14:00 UTC Serie A
Torino 1:0 CremoneseCremonese
08.12 19:45 UTC Serie A
Torino 2:3 AC MilanAC Milan
30.11 11:30 UTC Serie A
Torino 1:2 LecceLecce
24.11 17:30 UTC Serie A
Torino 1:5 ComoComo
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.2 Scored
2.0 Conceded
6 Points
Cagliari
D L W L D
21.12 11:30 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 2:2 PisaPisa
13.12 19:45 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 1:2 AtalantaAtalanta
07.12 14:00 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 1:0 AS RomaAS Roma
29.11 17:00 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 1:2 JuventusJuventus
22.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 3:3 GenoaGenoa
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.8 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyTorino - Cagliari

Torino
1 matches total
Cagliari
Torino: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Cagliari: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Cagliari 2:3 (20.10 16:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 5 goals (2:3, 20.10 16:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 2

Match history

20.10 16:00 UTC Serie A
Torino
2:3
Cagliari