Serie A Italy

11.04.2026 13:00 UTC Match prediction

11.04.2026 13:00 UTC

Finished

Serie A

Torino - Hellas Verona

Italy Futbol

Stadium Олимпийский стадион

Torino

2 : 1

Finished

Hellas Verona

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Torino — 45%

1 · Torino44.6%

X · draw28.8%

2 · Hellas Verona26.6%

Model estimate: win Torino 44.6%, draw 28.8%, win Hellas Verona 26.6%. Model favourite — Torino.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Torino - Hellas Verona 11 апреля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Torino.

Strongest: Torino - market and Glicko agree

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.93 / X 3.26 / 2 4.45
1X2 market: Torino 49.3% / X 29.2% / Hellas Verona 21.5%
Glicko: Torino 44.6% / X 28.8% / Hellas Verona 26.6%
Total 2.5: over probability 42.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%

1 49.4%

X 29.2%

2 21.4%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.2%

Over 2.5 38.7%

Under 2.5 61.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model consensus

Лидер исходов AI: П1

Main outcome П1

Agreement 4/4

Confidence 47.2%

Total ТМ 2.5

Score 1:1

Модели дают единый сигнал. Такие матчи мы помечаем как более сильные.

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Match center

Start 11.04.2026 13:00 UTC

Stadium Олимпийский стадион (Турин)

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🥊 Humans vs Machines

📐 Math model Torino 45%

💹 Market Torino 4930%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

Match center

Torino - Hellas Verona

Torino: Победа 1.91 Torino: Ничья 3.30 Hellas Verona Победа: 4.33 Общий тотал голов больше 2.5: 2.38 Общий тотал голов меньше 2.5: 1.57 Индивидуальный тотал голов Torino больше 1.5: 2.20 Индивидуальный тотал голов Torino меньше 1.5: 1.62 Индивидуальный тотал голов Hellas Verona …

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 3 head-to-head matches

Market 4 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

6/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

yes Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Post-match / SStats

Score 2:1

Events 19

Statistics 24

Lineups 47

min Event Player Team

6' 6' Normal Goal | Giovanni Simeone | assist/sub out: Marcus Pedersen Torino

25' 25' Yellow Card | Ardian Ismajli Matthew Summers Torino

26' 26' Yellow Card | Andrias Edmundsson Hellas Verona

38' 38' Normal Goal | Kieron Bowie Hellas Verona

46' 46' Yellow Card | Martin Frese Уитни Осигве Hellas Verona

50' 50' Normal Goal | Cesare Casadei | assist/sub out: Rafael Obrador Torino

56' 56' Goal Disallowed - offside | Che Adams Ilay Yoruk Torino

60' 60' Substitution 1 | Abdou Harroui | assist/sub out: Gift Orban Hellas Verona

Metric Torino Hellas Verona SStats

Ожидаемые голы (xG) 1.31 1.48 final

Заблокированные удары 2 8 final

Удары мимо 7 6 final

Удары в створ 2 4 final

Удары всего 11 18 final

Фолы совершено 13 17 final

Желтые карточки 1 4 final

Офсайды 2 1 final

Torino #1 A. Paleari, #10 N. Vlasic, #16 M. Pedersen, #18 G. Simeone, #19 C. Adams, #22 C. Casadei, #23 Saúl Coco, #33 Rafael Obrador, #44 A. Ismajli, #66 G. Gineitis, #77 E. Ebosse

Hellas Verona #1 Lorenzo Montipò, #2 D. Oyegoke, #3 Martin Frese, #5 Andrias Edmundsson, #7 R. Belghali, #11 Jean Daniel Akpa-Akpro, #15 V. Nelsson, #18 Kieron Bowie, #21 Abdou Harroui, #24 Antoine Bernede, #63 R. Gagliardini

Player Team Metric SStats

Abdou Harroui Hellas Verona football.player.assists 0

Abdou Harroui Hellas Verona Дриблинг попытки 1

Abdou Harroui Hellas Verona Дриблинг успешно 2

Abdou Harroui Hellas Verona Единоборства выиграно 7

Abdou Harroui Hellas Verona Фолы на игроке 1

Abdou Harroui Hellas Verona Пропущено голов 1

Abdou Harroui Hellas Verona Сейвы 0

Abdou Harroui Hellas Verona football.player.minutes_played 60

Abdou Harroui Hellas Verona Точность пасов % 1

Abdou Harroui Hellas Verona Ключевые пасы 29

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Torino 49.2% 44.6% market and model agree

Draw 29.5% 28.8% draw risk

Hellas Verona 21.3% 26.6%

xG - 1.26 : 0.90

Total 2.5 Over 42.9% - Under 57.1%

Model check - - Difference 0.05

Draw-trap risk Favourite-trap risk Market vs Glicko gap: 0.05

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 44.6% / 28.8% / 26.6% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,484 / 1,364 Torino / Hellas Verona

RD 73 / 75 rating uncertainty

HFA: - HFA mu: - MoV: - N: N=1 P: glicko2_expected

Best value: value не найден

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 4.45 market consensus · no value · model 26.6%

X 3.26 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 1.93 market consensus · no value · model 44.6%

Double chance

X2 1.87 market consensus · weak value +3.6% · model 55.4%

12 1.32 market consensus · no value · model 71.2%

1X 1.20 market consensus · no value · model 73.4%

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.92 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.42 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 4.24 market consensus · line only

2 +1 8.60 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.46 market consensus · no value · model 42.9%

Under 2.5 1.55 market consensus · no value · model 57.1%

Both teams to score

No 1.67 market consensus · line only

Yes 2.13 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
П1	1.90 52.6%	1.96 51.0%	2.00 50.0%	1.91 52.4%	1.98 50.5%	1.91 52.4%
Х	3.30 30.3%	3.30 30.3%	3.34 29.9%	3.30 30.3%	3.25 30.8%	3.30 30.3%
П2	4.20 23.8%	4.40 22.7%	4.66 21.5%	4.33 23.1%	4.75 21.1%	4.60 21.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor	Marathonbet	Unibet
no	1.70 58.8%	1.69 59.2%	1.64 61.0%	1.67 59.9%	1.67 59.9%	1.62 61.7%	1.62 61.7%	1.63 61.4%	1.70 58.8%
yes	2.10 47.6%	2.18 45.9%	2.14 46.7%	2.10 47.6%	2.12 47.2%	2.20 45.5%	2.15 46.5%	2.14 46.7%	2.10 47.6%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor
draw_away	1.85 54.1%	1.90 52.6%	1.83 54.6%	1.90 52.6%	1.83 54.6%	1.80 55.6%
home_away	1.28 78.1%	1.38 72.5%	1.33 75.2%	1.33 75.2%	1.30 76.9%	1.30 76.9%
home_draw	1.22 82.0%	1.23 81.3%	1.20 83.3%	1.22 82.0%	1.17 85.5%	1.20 83.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet
ТБ 0.5	1.08 92.6%	—	1.06 94.3%
ТБ 0.75	—	—	1.08 92.6%
ТБ 1.0	—	—	1.11 90.1%
ТБ 1.25	—	—	1.28 78.1%
ТБ 1.5	1.45 69.0%	—	—
ТБ 2.0	—	1.89 52.9%	—
ТБ 2.25	—	2.09 47.9%	—
ТБ 2.5	2.38 42.0%	—	—
ТБ 3.5	4.50 22.2%	—	—
ТБ 4.5	9.00 11.1%	—	—
ТМ 0.5	7.50 13.3%	—	—
ТМ 1.5	2.70 37.0%	—	—
ТМ 2.0	—	2.01 49.8%	—
ТМ 2.25	—	1.81 55.3%	—
ТМ 2.5	1.57 63.7%	—	—
ТМ 3.5	1.20 83.3%	—	—
ТМ 4.5	1.05 95.2%	—	—

Match center

Torino

Founded 1906

Hellas Verona

Founded 1903

Match center

Torino

ZA Z. Aboukhlal Muscle Injury

DZ D. Zapata Thigh Injury

Hellas Verona

SS S. Serdar Knee Injury

SL S. Lovrić Muscle Injury

Torino Founded: 1906

Hellas Verona Founded: 1903

Match center

Torino

W L W L W

05.04 16:00 UTC Serie A

Torino 1:0 Pisa

21.03 17:00 UTC Serie A

Torino 2:3 AC Milan

13.03 19:45 UTC Serie A

Torino 4:1 Parma

06.03 19:45 UTC Serie A

Torino 1:2 Napoli

01.03 17:00 UTC Serie A

Torino 2:0 Lazio

3 Wins

0 Draws

2 Losses

2.0 Scored

1.2 Conceded

9 Points

Hellas Verona

L L L W L

04.04 16:00 UTC Serie A

Hellas Verona 0:1 Fiorentina

22.03 14:00 UTC Serie A

Hellas Verona 0:1 Atalanta

15.03 11:30 UTC Serie A

Hellas Verona 0:2 Genoa

08.03 14:00 UTC Serie A

Hellas Verona 2:1 Bologna

28.02 17:00 UTC Serie A

Hellas Verona 1:2 Napoli

1 Wins

0 Draws

4 Losses

0.6 Scored

1.4 Conceded

3 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyTorino - Hellas Verona

Torino

3 matches total

Hellas Verona

Torino: 2 (66.7%)

Draws:1 (33.3%)

Hellas Verona: 0 (0%)

Biggest win Torino 3:0 (04.01 17:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 5 goals (3:2, 20.09 18:45 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (06.04 13:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

7 Goals scored 3

3 Goals conceded 7

Match history

04.01 17:00 UTC

Serie A

Torino

3:0

Hellas Verona

06.04 13:00 UTC

Serie A

Torino

1:1

Hellas Verona

20.09 18:45 UTC

Serie A

Torino

3:2

Hellas Verona

Match center

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The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.