Serie A
Serie A Italy
26.04.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Torino - Inter

Italy Futbol
Referee M. Mariani
Torino
Torino
2 : 2
Finished
Inter
Inter
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Inter62%

1 · Torino15.9%
market13%
X · draw22.1%
market20%
2 · Inter ✓ Прогноз62.1%
market67%

Model estimate: win Torino 15.9%, draw 22.1%, win Inter 62.1%. Model favourite — Inter.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Torino - Inter 26 апреля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Inter.

Strongest: Inter - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 7.23 / X 4.67 / 2 1.41
  • 1X2 market: Torino 13.1% / X 20.3% / Inter 66.7%
  • Glicko: Torino 15.9% / X 22.1% / Inter 62.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 77.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.2%
1 13.0%
X 20.2%
2 ✓ Прогноз 66.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.2%
Over 2.5 57.6%
Under 2.5 42.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

Лидер исходов AI: П2

Main outcome П2
Agreement 6/6
Confidence 66.6%
Total ТБ 2.5
Score 1:2

Модели дают единый сигнал. Такие матчи мы помечаем как более сильные.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

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Match center
Start 26.04.2026 16:00 UTC
Referee M. Mariani
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Inter 62%
💹 Market Inter 6666%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Torino - Inter

Torino: Победа 7.00 Torino: Ничья 4.33 Inter Победа: 1.42 Общий тотал голов больше 2.5: 1.67 Общий тотал голов меньше 2.5: 2.20 Индивидуальный тотал голов Torino больше 0.5: 1.67 Индивидуальный тотал голов Torino меньше 0.5: 2.10 Индивидуальный тотал голов Inter больше 1.5: 1.50…

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 4 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 2:2
Events 18
Statistics 24
Lineups 48
min Event Player Team
23' 23' Normal Goal | Marcus Thuram | assist/sub out: Federico Dimarco A. Flynn Inter
53' 53' Substitution 1 | Saúl Coco | assist/sub out: Luca Marianucci Torino
54' 54' Substitution 2 | Valentino Lazaro | assist/sub out: Alieu Njie Torino
61' 61' Substitution 1 | Ange-Yoan Bonny | assist/sub out: Francesco Pio Esposito Inter
61' 61' Normal Goal | Yann Bisseck | assist/sub out: Federico Dimarco Inter
67' 67' Substitution 3 | Gvidas Gineitis | assist/sub out: Cesare Casadei Torino
67' 67' Substitution 4 | Che Adams | assist/sub out: Duván Zapata Ilay Yoruk Torino
70' 70' Normal Goal | Giovanni Simeone | assist/sub out: Emirhan İlkhan Torino
Metric Torino Inter SStats
Ожидаемые голы (xG) 2.46 1.6 final
Заблокированные удары 8 5 final
Удары мимо 4 4 final
Удары в створ 2 5 final
Удары всего 14 14 final
Фолы совершено 10 8 final
Желтые карточки 1 2 final
Офсайды 1 1 final
Torino #1 A. Paleari, #6 E. İlkhan, #10 N. Vlasic, #18 G. Simeone, #19 C. Adams, #20 V. Lazaro, #23 Saúl Coco, #33 Rafael Obrador, #44 A. Ismajli, #66 G. Gineitis, #77 E. Ebosse
Inter #1 Yann Sommer, #7 P. Zielinski, #8 P. Sucic, #9 M. Thuram, #14 A. Bonny, #23 N. Barella, #25 M. Akanji, #30 Carlos Augusto, #31 Yann Bisseck, #32 F. Dimarco, #36 Matteo Darmian
Player Team Metric SStats
A. Bastoni Inter Сейвы 0
A. Bonny Inter football.player.assists 0
A. Bonny Inter Дриблинг успешно 4
A. Bonny Inter Единоборства выиграно 8
A. Bonny Inter Сейвы 0
A. Bonny Inter football.player.minutes_played 61
A. Bonny Inter Ключевые пасы 11
A. Bonny Inter Пасы всего 1
A. Bonny Inter Рейтинг (старый) 5.7
A. Bonny Inter Удары в створ 2
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Torino 12.7% 15.9%
Draw 19.2% 22.1% draw risk
Inter 68.1% 62.1% market and model agree
xG - 0.81 : 1.86
Total 2.5 Over 77.8% - Under 22.2%
Model check - - Difference 0.06
The match leans toward a high total Market vs Glicko gap: 0.06

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 15.9% / 22.1% / 62.1% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,486 / 1,751 Torino / Inter
RD 71 / 77 rating uncertainty
HFA: - HFA mu: - MoV: - N: N=1 P: glicko2_expected

Best value: value не найден

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.41 market consensus · no value · model 62.1%
X 4.67 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 7.23 market consensus · no value · model 15.9%
Double chance
X2 1.09 market consensus · no value · model 84.1%
12 1.17 market consensus · no value · model 78.0%
1X 2.84 market consensus · no value · model 37.9%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.10 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.39 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.64 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 6.40 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.65 market consensus · value +28.4% · model 77.8%
Under 2.5 2.24 market consensus · no value · model 22.2%
Both teams to score
No 1.91 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.84 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
П1 7.60 13.2% 7.75 12.9% 7.00 14.3% 7.00 14.3% 7.40 13.5% 7.50 13.3%
Х 4.50 22.2% 5.06 19.8% 4.60 21.7% 4.33 23.1% 4.60 21.7% 4.60 21.7%
П2 1.40 71.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.40 71.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Unibet
no 1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.93 51.8% 1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6% 1.88 53.2% 1.90 52.6%
yes 1.83 54.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.82 55.0% 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.84 54.4%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.08 92.6% 1.10 90.9% 1.10 90.9% 1.10 90.9% 1.11 90.1% 1.07 93.5%
home_away 1.15 87.0% 1.21 82.6% 1.18 84.8% 1.20 83.3% 1.19 84.0% 1.14 87.7%
home_draw 2.85 35.1% 2.97 33.7% 2.88 34.7% 2.75 36.4% 2.90 34.5% 2.80 35.7%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
ТБ 0.5 1.04 96.2% 1.03 97.1%
ТБ 1.0 1.03 97.1%
ТБ 1.25 1.07 93.5%
ТБ 1.5 1.20 83.3% 1.16 86.2%
ТБ 1.75 1.21 82.6%
ТБ 2.0 1.26 79.4%
ТБ 2.25 1.44 69.4%
ТБ 2.5 1.65 60.6% 1.71 58.5%
ТБ 3.5 2.60 38.5%
ТБ 4.5 4.75 21.1%
ТМ 0.5 10.00 10.0%
ТМ 1.5 4.33 23.1%
ТМ 2.5 2.20 45.5%
ТМ 3.5 1.48 67.6%
ТМ 4.5 1.18 84.8%
Match center
Torino
Founded 1906
Inter
Founded 1908
Match center
Torino
D W W L W
19.04 10:30 UTC Serie A
Torino 0:0 CremoneseCremonese
11.04 13:00 UTC Serie A
Torino 2:1 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
05.04 16:00 UTC Serie A
Torino 1:0 PisaPisa
21.03 17:00 UTC Serie A
Torino 2:3 AC MilanAC Milan
13.03 19:45 UTC Serie A
Torino 4:1 ParmaParma
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.0 Conceded
10 Points
Inter
W W W D D
17.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
Inter 3:0 CagliariCagliari
12.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
Inter 4:3 ComoComo
05.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
Inter 5:2 AS RomaAS Roma
22.03 19:45 UTC Serie A
Inter 1:1 FiorentinaFiorentina
14.03 14:00 UTC Serie A
Inter 1:1 AtalantaAtalanta
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
2.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
11 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyTorino - Inter

Torino
3 matches total
Inter
Torino: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Inter: 3 (100%)
Biggest win Inter 0:5 (25.08 18:45 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 5 goals (0:5, 25.08 18:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 10
10 Goals conceded 2

Match history

25.08 18:45 UTC Serie A
Torino
0:5
Inter
11.05 16:00 UTC Serie A
Torino
0:2
Inter
05.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
Torino
2:3
Inter
Match center
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The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.