Serie A
Serie A Italy
29.09.2024 10:30 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Torino - Lazio

Italy Futbol
Torino
Torino
2 : 3
Finished
Lazio
Lazio

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Torino - Lazio 29 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lazio.

Line favourite market consensus: Lazio. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.05 / X 3.10 / 2 2.61
  • 1X2 market: Torino 31.7% / X 31.2% / Lazio 37.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.4%
1 31.7%
X 31.2%
2 37.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.5%
Over 2.5 41.1%
Under 2.5 58.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 29.09.2024 10:30 UTC
Match center

Torino - Lazio

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.61 market consensus · line only
X 3.10 market consensus · line only
1 3.05 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.41 market consensus · line only
12 1.40 market consensus · line only
1X 1.54 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.35 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.64 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.05 32.8%
Х 3.10 32.3%
П2 2.61 38.3%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.41 70.9%
home_away 1.40 71.4%
home_draw 1.54 64.9%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 2.35 42.6%
ТМ 2.5 1.64 61.0%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.10 47.6%
П2 1.78 56.2%
Match center
Torino
W D
20.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Torino 3:2 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
15.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Torino 0:0 LecceLecce
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.5 Scored
1.0 Conceded
4 Points
Lazio
L W
22.09 10:30 UTC Serie A
Lazio 1:2 FiorentinaFiorentina
16.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio 2:1 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.5 Scored
1.5 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyTorino - Lazio

Torino
0 matches total
Lazio
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history