Serie A
Serie A Italy
15.09.2024 13:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Torino - Lecce

Italy Futbol
Torino
Torino
0 : 0
Finished
Lecce
Lecce

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Torino - Lecce 15 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Torino.

Line favourite market consensus: Torino. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.92 / X 3.32 / 2 4.80
  • 1X2 market: Torino 50.6% / X 29.2% / Lecce 20.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 60.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.0%
1 50.5%
X 29.2%
2 20.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.3%
Over 2.5 39.5%
Under 2.5 60.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 15.09.2024 13:00 UTC
Match center

Torino - Lecce

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.80 market consensus · line only
X 3.32 market consensus · line only
1 1.92 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.95 market consensus · line only
12 1.37 market consensus · line only
1X 1.22 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.45 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.60 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.92 52.1%
Х 3.32 30.1%
П2 4.80 20.8%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.95 51.3%
home_away 1.37 73.0%
home_draw 1.22 82.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 2.45 40.8%
ТМ 2.5 1.60 62.5%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.36 73.5%
П2 3.37 29.7%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyTorino - Lecce

Torino
0 matches total
Lecce
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history