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Serie A
Serie A Italy
18.10.2025 16:00 UTC Match prediction
18.10.2025 16:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Torino - Napoli

Italy Football
Torino
Torino
1 : 0
Finished
Napoli
Napoli

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Torino - Napoli October 18, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Napoli.

Line favourite market consensus: Napoli. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.11 / X 3.37 / 2 1.82
  • 1X2 market: Torino 18.9% / X 28.5% / Napoli 52.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 59.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.2%
1 18.8%
X 28.5%
2 52.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.7%
Over 2.5 40.9%
Under 2.5 59.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 18.10.2025 16:00 UTC
Match center

Torino - Napoli

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.83 market consensus · line only
X 3.37 market consensus · line only
1 5.13 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.19 market consensus · line only
12 1.34 market consensus · line only
1X 2.02 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.19 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.83 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.56 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 5.03 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.36 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.63 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.70 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.10 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
5.32 18.8%
X 3.34 29.9%
1.83 54.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus
5.20 19.2% 5.00 20.0% 5.25 19.1% 4.90 20.4% 5.32 18.8% 5.32 18.8%
X 3.35 29.9% 3.56 28.1% 3.25 30.8% 3.48 28.7% 3.34 29.9% 3.34 29.9%
1.81 55.3% 1.87 53.5% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle William Hill
no 1.74 57.5% 1.68 59.5% 1.70 58.8% 1.66 60.2% 1.74 57.5% 1.70 58.8%
yes 2.10 47.6% 2.09 47.9% 2.05 48.8% 2.09 47.9% 2.17 46.1% 2.10 47.6%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus William Hill
draw_away 1.21 82.6% 1.17 85.5% 1.20 83.3% 1.19 84.0% 1.19 84.0% 1.18 84.8%
home_away 1.34 74.6% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.37 73.0% 1.37 73.0% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 2.04 49.0% 1.95 51.3% 2.04 49.0% 2.04 49.0% 2.04 49.0% 2.00 50.0%
Match center
Torino
D L L W D
04.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Torino 3:3 LazioLazio
29.09 16:30 UTC Serie A
Torino 1:2 ParmaParma
21.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Torino 0:3 AtalantaAtalanta
14.09 10:30 UTC Serie A
Torino 1:0 AS RomaAS Roma
31.08 16:30 UTC Serie A
Torino 0:0 FiorentinaFiorentina
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.6 Conceded
5 Points
Napoli
W L W W W
05.10 16:00 UTC Serie A
Napoli 2:1 GenoaGenoa
28.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Napoli 1:2 AC MilanAC Milan
22.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Napoli 3:2 PisaPisa
13.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Napoli 3:1 FiorentinaFiorentina
30.08 18:45 UTC Serie A
Napoli 1:0 CagliariCagliari
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.2 Conceded
12 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyTorino - Napoli

Torino
1 matches total
Napoli
Torino: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Napoli: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Napoli 0:2 (27.04 18:45 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (0:2, 27.04 18:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 0

Match history

27.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
Torino
0:2
Napoli