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Serie A
Serie A Italy
13.03.2026 19:45 UTC Match prediction
13.03.2026 19:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Torino - Parma

Italy Football
Torino
Torino
4 : 1
Finished
Parma
Parma

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Torino - Parma March 13, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Torino.

Line favourite market consensus: Torino. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.24 / X 3.01 / 2 3.79
  • 1X2 market: Torino 42.8% / X 31.8% / Parma 25.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 60.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.3%
1 42.8%
X 31.9%
2 25.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.8%
Over 2.5 39.8%
Under 2.5 60.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 13.03.2026 19:45 UTC
Match center

Torino - Parma

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.81 market consensus · line only
X 3.01 market consensus · line only
1 2.24 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.68 market consensus · line only
12 1.41 market consensus · line only
1X 1.29 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.74 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.29 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.72 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.60 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.42 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.60 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.78 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.99 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.26 44.3%
X 3.02 33.1%
3.93 25.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus
2.20 45.5% 2.31 43.3% 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.26 44.3% 2.26 44.3%
X 3.10 32.3% 3.06 32.7% 3.00 33.3% 2.99 33.4% 3.02 33.1% 3.02 33.1%
3.80 26.3% 3.92 25.5% 3.75 26.7% 3.82 26.2% 3.93 25.5% 3.93 25.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle William Hill
no 1.82 55.0% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.74 57.5% 1.84 54.4% 1.75 57.1%
yes 2.00 50.0% 1.98 50.5% 1.95 51.3% 1.98 50.5% 2.04 49.0% 2.00 50.0%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus William Hill
draw_away 1.69 59.2% 1.67 59.9% 1.68 59.5% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.62 61.7%
home_away 1.43 69.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.42 70.4% 1.43 69.9% 1.43 69.9% 1.36 73.5%
home_draw 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.29 77.5% 1.29 77.5% 1.30 76.9%
Match center
Torino
L W L L D
06.03 19:45 UTC Serie A
Torino 1:2 NapoliNapoli
01.03 17:00 UTC Serie A
Torino 2:0 LazioLazio
22.02 11:30 UTC Serie A
Torino 0:3 GenoaGenoa
15.02 17:00 UTC Serie A
Torino 1:2 BolognaBologna
07.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Torino 2:2 FiorentinaFiorentina
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.8 Conceded
4 Points
Parma
D D W W W
08.03 14:00 UTC Serie A
Parma 0:0 FiorentinaFiorentina
27.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Parma 1:1 CagliariCagliari
22.02 17:00 UTC Serie A
Parma 1:0 AC MilanAC Milan
15.02 14:00 UTC Serie A
Parma 2:1 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
08.02 11:30 UTC Serie A
Parma 1:0 BolognaBologna
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.4 Conceded
11 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyTorino - Parma

Torino
1 matches total
Parma
Torino: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Parma: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Parma 1:2 (29.09 16:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 29.09 16:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 1

Match history

29.09 16:30 UTC Serie A
Torino
1:2
Parma